Alex Michelsen vs Francisco CerundoloHalle Round of 32

Halle · ATP · Round of 32
#46ATP
1825ELO
1710Grass ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 June 2025
grass
#22ATP
1931ELO
1784Grass ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Michelsen A.
2-6 7-5 6-4
Cerundolo F.
Michelsen A.
2762
Cerundolo F.
6541

Alex Michelsen defeated Francisco Cerundolo 2-6 7-5 6-4 in the Halle round of 32 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Francisco Cerundolo came in ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Alex Michelsen claimed a first win over Francisco Cerundolo in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-20ViennaR32hardFrancisco Cerundolo6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Michelsen A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Cerundolo F.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Even
62%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.4
3.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 87). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
88
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Dominant
46
86
Deciding sets·Even
91
94
Tiebreaks·Even
95
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.4Grass Elo 1710
Surface ELO
4.6+73 Grass Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1931
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.8
Surface form
4.8
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
3.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
70
98

Michelsen A.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d) · Cerundolo F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
20°CDrizzle
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 62%