Daniel Rincon vs Marco CecchinatoSassuolo CH Round of 32

Sassuolo CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#205ATP
1522ELO
1469Clay ELO
23 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 June 2025
clay
#175ATP
1576ELO
1546Clay ELO
$149kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWLLW
Rincon D.
7-5 3-6 6-3
Cecchinato M.
Rincon D.
7362
Cecchinato M.
5631

Daniel Rincon defeated Marco Cecchinato 7-5 3-6 6-3 in the Sassuolo CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Marco Cecchinato came in ranked #175, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

  • Match story: Daniel Rincon closed it out in three sets, 7–5 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Rincon D.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Cecchinato M.

Cecchinato M.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Rincon D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
53%
Service points won·Even
59%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.4
2.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (75 vs 105). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
41
42
Break points saved·Dominant
50
89
Break points won·Clear edge
34
20
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
36
Tiebreaks·Dominant
16
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Clay Elo 1469
Surface ELO
6.4+77 Clay Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1522
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1576
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
4.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Minutes 14d
6.4
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
51
64

Rincon D.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 102 games (7d) · Cecchinato M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast