Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Cazaux — Nottingham 2 CH Round of 32

Nottingham 2 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Adrian Mannarino
FRA
Adrian Mannarino
#49ATP
1673ELO
1653Grass ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 June 2025
grass
Arthur Cazaux
FRA7
Arthur Cazaux
#98ATP
1793ELO
1659Grass ELO
$46kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLW
Mannarino A.
6-4 6-3
Cazaux A.
Mannarino A.
662
Cazaux A.
430

Adrian Mannarino defeated Arthur Cazaux 6-4 6-3 in the Nottingham 2 CH round of 32 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Arthur Cazaux came in leading the head-to-head 2–0. Adrian Mannarino claimed a first win over Arthur Cazaux in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-02MetzR32hardArthur Cazaux6-3 7-6(4)
2021-05-17GenevaR32clayArthur Cazaux6-3 6-7(5) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Mannarino A.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Cazaux A.

Cazaux A.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Mannarino A.Cazaux A.
1st serve in·Even
61%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.5
8.3
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (93 vs 59). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Mannarino A.Cazaux A.
Clutch Rating·Even
65
65
Break points saved·Even
96
97
Break points won·Dominant
66
27
Deciding sets·Clear edge
72
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
38
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mannarino A.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Cazaux A.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.0Grass Elo 1653
Surface ELO
5.0+6 Grass Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1673
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1793
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.2
Surface form
3.7
Fatigue & Travel
3.5
Minutes 14d
8.1
7.0
3-set count
Prev. match
9.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Mannarino A.Cazaux A.
Freshness·
80
—

Mannarino A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Cilic M.[2]
Mochizuki S.
6-26-3
Semi-finals
Mochizuki S.
Smith C.
6-26-2
Cilic M.[2]
Landaluce M.
6-766-47-67
Quarter-finals
Mochizuki S.
Faria J.
6-26-0
Cilic M.[2]
Barrios Vera T.[6]
6-16-3
Landaluce M.
Atmane T.
6-736-26-3
Smith C.
Nava E.
6-756-46-4
R16
Cilic M.[2]
Harris L.
2-66-43-1
Barrios Vera T.[6]
Schoolkate T.
6-27-68
Landaluce M.
Mannarino A.
4-67-57-5
Atmane T.
Fery A.
5-76-36-4
Faria J.
Choinski J.
7-56-3
Smith C.
Mccabe J.
5-76-36-3
Mochizuki S.
Boyer T.[8]
6-26-3
Nava E.
Peniston R.
7-656-4
R32
Atmane T.
Gigante M.
4-66-46-4
Mochizuki S.
Herbert P.
6-47-67
Peniston R.
Galan D.[5]
5-76-46-2
Mccabe J.
Loffhagen G.
6-37-64
Smith C.
Trungelliti M.
6-24-66-3
Barrios Vera T.[6]
Trotter J.
6-36-4
Harris L.
Royer V.
7-666-2
Cilic M.[2]
Grenier H.
6-36-2
Nava E.
Pinnington Jones J.
6-36-7106-3
Landaluce M.
Budkov Kjaer N.
6-22-66-2
Schoolkate T.
Blockx A.
6-36-2
Boyer T.[8]
Krueger M.
6-17-5
Choinski J.
Spizzirri E.
5-76-46-4
Faria J.
Holt B.[3]
6-36-4
Fery A.
Fognini F.
6-37-65
Mannarino A.
Cazaux A.[7]
6-46-3