Ajla Tomljanovic vs Shuai ZhangQueen's Club Qualifying Round 2

Queen's Club · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#92WTA
1745ELO
1683Grass ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 June 2025
grass
#54WTA
1718ELO
1619Grass ELO
37 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWL
Tomljanovic A.
5-7 7-6 6-3
Zhang S.
Tomljanovic A.
57962
Zhang S.
76731

Ajla Tomljanovic defeated Shuai Zhang 5-7 7-6 6-3 in the Queen's Club qualifying round 2 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Shuai Zhang came in ranked #54. Ajla Tomljanovic extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-03OstravaR32hardAjla Tomljanovic6-3 6-3
2020-09-21StrasbourgR32clayShuai Zhang3-6 6-4 6-2
2014-03-31CharlestonR32clayAjla Tomljanovic4-6 7-6(4) 6-3
2014-02-24AcapulcoQFhardShuai Zhang6-1 5-7 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Tomljanovic A.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Zhang S.

Zhang S.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Tomljanovic A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Even
2.6
2.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.0
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 79). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
71
62
Break points saved·Clear edge
73
55
Break points won·Slight edge
92
83
Deciding sets·Even
75
78
Tiebreaks·Even
78
82

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.6+64 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Grass Elo 1619
5.6Overall Elo 1745
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1718
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.4
Surface form
2.2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
99

Tomljanovic A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Zhang S.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About