Hanne Vandewinkel vs Solana SierraValencia 125 Quarter-final

Valencia 125 · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#98WTA
1690ELO
1558Clay ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWWWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 June 2025
clay
#86WTA
1783ELO
1748Clay ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
Vandewinkel H.
6-4 4-6 6-3
Sierra S.
Vandewinkel H.
6462
Sierra S.
4631

Hanne Vandewinkel defeated Solana Sierra 6-4 4-6 6-3 in the Valencia 125 quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Solana Sierra came in ranked #86.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Vandewinkel H.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Sierra S.

Sierra S.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Vandewinkel H.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
45%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Even
2.8
2.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.1
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (95 vs 71). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
86
Break points saved·Slight edge
70
81
Break points won·Slight edge
91
96
Deciding sets·Even
93
92
Tiebreaks·
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Clay Elo 1558
Surface ELO
5.8+190 Clay Elo edge
5.7Overall Elo 1690
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1783
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.5
Surface form
6.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
97

Vandewinkel H.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Sierra S.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast