Alexander Zverev vs Brandon NakashimaStuttgart Quarter-final

Stuttgart · ATP · Quarter-final
#3ATP
2100ELO
1914Grass ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 June 2025
grass
#31ATP
1839ELO
1757Grass ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Zverev A.
7-5 6-4
Nakashima B.
Zverev A.
762
Nakashima B.
540

Alexander Zverev defeated Brandon Nakashima 7-5 6-4 in the Stuttgart quarter-final on grass. The result followed the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 5–0. Alexander Zverev extended the head-to-head to 6–0.

Key context

Head to head

50
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersR32hardAlexander Zverev7-6(2) 5-7 6-4
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersR32hardAlexander Zverev6-4 6-4
2024-08-26US OpenR16hardAlexander Zverev3-6 6-1 6-2 6-2
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR32clayAlexander Zverev7-6(2) 6-3 7-6(5)
2020-08-31US OpenR64hardAlexander Zverev7-5 6-7(8) 6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Zverev A.serving95% hold

wins 76% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
69%
68%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.8
9.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (110 vs 82). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
94
56
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
90
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
64
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
7.1+157 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Grass Elo 1757
8.5Overall Elo 2100
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1839
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.8
Surface form
6.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
3-set count
7.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
52
86

Zverev A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 103 games (7d) · Nakashima B.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast