Mariano Kestelboim vs Alvaro Guillen MezaSanta Fe CH Round of 32

Santa Fe CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#692ATP
1198ELO
1189Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 June 2025
clay
#277ATP
1442ELO
1412Clay ELO
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWLL
Kestelboim M.
6-4 2-6 7-5
Guillen Meza A.
Kestelboim M.
6272
Guillen Meza A.
4651

Mariano Kestelboim defeated Alvaro Guillen Meza 6-4 2-6 7-5 in the Santa Fe CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alvaro Guillen Meza came in ranked #277, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kestelboim M.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Guillen Meza A.

Guillen Meza A.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Kestelboim M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
42%
43%
Break points saved·Even
52%
54%
Aces / match·Even
1.7
1.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 86). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
14
19
Break points saved·Dominant
7
43
Break points won·Clear edge
18
41
Deciding sets·Dominant
68
36
Tiebreaks·
17

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.2Clay Elo 1189
Surface ELO
8.8+223 Clay Elo edge
1.2Overall Elo 1198
ELO gap
8.8Overall Elo 1442
5.4No prior meetings
H2H
4.6
6.0
Surface form
7.2
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Guillen Meza A.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast