Reilly Opelka vs Jesper De Jong — s Hertogenbosch Round of 32

s Hertogenbosch · ATP · Round of 32
Reilly Opelka
USALL
Reilly Opelka
#115ATP
1749ELO
1635Grass ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 June 2025
grass
Jesper De Jong
NEDWC
Jesper De Jong
#73ATP
1711ELO
1536Grass ELO
$612kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWLW
Opelka R.
6-7 7-6 6-2
De Jong J.
Opelka R.
657762
De Jong J.
776521

Reilly Opelka defeated Jesper De Jong 6-7 7-6 6-2 in the s Hertogenbosch round of 32 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Jesper De Jong came in ranked #73.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Opelka R.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs De Jong J.

De Jong J.serving96% hold

wins 77% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Opelka R.De Jong J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
28%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
73%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
16.9
6.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.0
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (67 vs 83). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Opelka R.De Jong J.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
63
56
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
90
Break points won·Dominant
1
37
Deciding sets·Clear edge
88
69
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Opelka R.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
De Jong J.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
6.8+98 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Grass Elo 1536
6.6Overall Elo 1749
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1711
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
4.5
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
3-set count
4.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Opelka R.De Jong J.
Freshness·
—
88

De Jong J.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Final
Diallo G.
Bergs Z.[8]
7-57-68
Semi-finals
Bergs Z.[8]
Opelka R.
6-16-4
Diallo G.
Humbert U.[5]
6-37-64
Quarter-finals
Opelka R.
Medvedev D.[3]
7-657-65
Bergs Z.[8]
Lajal M.
7-627-64
Diallo G.
Khachanov K.[3]
7-666-4
Humbert U.[5]
Borges N.[7]
6-16-4
R16
Bergs Z.[8]
Popyrin A.[4]
6-736-27-63
Borges N.
Virtanen O.
W/O
Lajal M.
Hurkacz H.[5]
W/O
Opelka R.
Jarry N.
7-656-3
Diallo G.
Thompson J.[6]
4-66-17-5
Medvedev D.[3]
Mannarino A.
7-666-4
Khachanov K.[3]
Mcdonald M.
6-35-77-64
Humbert U.[5]
Evans D.
7-56-3
R32
Thompson J.[6]
Kovacevic A.
6-46-4
Diallo G.
Vukic A.
7-57-62
Hurkacz H.[5]
Bautista Agut R.
7-626-4
Lajal M.
Djere L.
6-26-4
Mcdonald M.
Bellucci M.
6-16-746-3
Jarry N.
Darderi L.[8]
5-76-47-63
Mannarino A.
Oconnell C.
6-16-3
Borges N.[7]
Basavareddy N.
7-626-2
Bergs Z.[8]
Blockx A.
6-31-67-63
Evans D.
Hijikata R.
3-66-46-3
Virtanen O.
Etcheverry T.
7-667-5
Opelka R.
De Jong J.
6-757-656-2