Matilde Jorge vs Polina IatcenkoW50 Guimaraes Semi-final

W50 Guimaraes · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#261WTA
1449ELO
1442Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 June 2025
hard
#150WTA
1605ELO
1567Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
Jorge M.
6-3 6-2
Iatcenko P.
Jorge M.
662
Iatcenko P.
32

Matilde Jorge defeated Polina Iatcenko 6-3 6-2 in the W50 Guimaraes semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Polina Iatcenko came in ranked #150, but Matilde Jorge had arrived on a 5-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Jorge M.serving40% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Iatcenko P.

Iatcenko P.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Jorge M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
46%
Service points won·Even
54%
57%
Return points won·Even
46%
48%
Break points saved·Even
53%
57%
Aces / match·Even
1.9
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.1
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (72 vs 76). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1442
Surface ELO
6.5+124 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1449
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1605
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
7.7
Surface form
6.5
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Iatcenko P.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast