Ariana Geerlings vs Laura PigossiValencia 125 Round of 32

Valencia 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#716WTA
1466ELO
1428Clay ELO
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 June 2025
clay
#252WTA
1478ELO
1453Clay ELO
31 yrs · 164 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWW
Geerlings A.
6-4 6-3
Pigossi L.
Geerlings A.
662
Pigossi L.
43

Ariana Geerlings defeated Laura Pigossi 6-4 6-3 in the Valencia 125 round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Laura Pigossi came in ranked #252, defending last year's quarter-final, but Ariana Geerlings had been the form player, winning 8 of their last 9 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Geerlings A.serving35% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Pigossi L.

Pigossi L.serving25% hold

wins 39% of points on serve vs Geerlings A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
46%
Service points won·Even
53%
53%
Return points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Break points saved·Even
57%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.6
1.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.9
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (47 vs 77). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1428
Surface ELO
5.2+26 Clay Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1466
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1478
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
5.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
3-set count
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
96

Pigossi L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast