Brandon Nakashima vs Jacob Fearnley — Stuttgart Round of 32

Stuttgart · ATP · Round of 32
Brandon Nakashima
USA6
Brandon Nakashima
#31ATP
1839ELO
1757Grass ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 June 2025
grass
GBR
Jacob Fearnley
#159ATP
1600ELO
1546Grass ELO
$342kYTD
$1.8MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWLW
Nakashima B.
4-6 7-6 6-1
Fearnley J.
Nakashima B.
47762
Fearnley J.
66411

Brandon Nakashima defeated Jacob Fearnley 4-6 7-6 6-1 in the Stuttgart round of 32 on grass. The result followed the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31, defending last year's semi-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Fearnley J.

Fearnley J.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Nakashima B.Fearnley J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
61%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.9
5.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.0
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (82 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Nakashima B.Fearnley J.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
86
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
13
70
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
99
Tiebreaks·Even
89
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Nakashima B.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Fearnley J.
3.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
6.8+211 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Grass Elo 1546
7.3Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1600
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
6.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
4.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Nakashima B.Fearnley J.
Freshness·Dominant
84
50

Nakashima B.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Fearnley J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 72 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Fritz T.[2]
Zverev A.[1]
6-37-60
Semi-finals
Zverev A.[1]
Shelton B.[1]
7-687-61
Fritz T.[2]
Auger Aliassime F.[4]
6-47-65
Quarter-finals
Fritz T.[2]
Fucsovics M.
6-36-4
Shelton B.[1]
Lehecka J.[4]
6-46-4
Auger Aliassime F.[4]
Engel J.
7-636-3
Zverev A.[1]
Nakashima B.[6]
7-56-4
R16
Fritz T.[2]
Halys Q.
6-37-66
Nakashima B.[6]
Tien L.
7-656-3
Engel J.
Michelsen A.[7]
6-46-4
Zverev A.[1]
Moutet C.[8]
6-27-67
Lehecka J.[4]
Struff J.
6-47-5
Fucsovics M.
Rinderknech A.
7-646-3
Auger Aliassime F.[4]
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-46-4
Shelton B.[1]
Herbert P.
7-647-5
R32
Herbert P.
Dzumhur D.
6-43-0
Tien L.
Nishioka Y.
6-737-630-0
Fucsovics M.
Hanfmann Y.
7-56-4
Moutet C.[8]
Fognini F.
6-46-736-3
Nakashima B.[6]
Fearnley J.
4-67-646-1
Halys Q.
Sonego L.
6-767-56-4
Engel J.
Duckworth J.
4-66-47-65
Michelsen A.[7]
Monfils G.
6-44-66-3
Lehecka J.[4]
Bonzi B.
6-46-4
Struff J.
Arnaldi M.
6-46-4
Rinderknech A.
Shapovalov D.[5]
6-42-66-0
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Safiullin R.
7-6103-67-5