Louisa Chirico vs Hanne VandewinkelValencia 125 Semi-final

Valencia 125 · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#382WTA
1476ELO
1516Clay ELO
30 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWLLL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 June 2025
clay
#98WTA
1690ELO
1558Clay ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWWWLLL
Chirico L.
6-4 7-6
Vandewinkel H.
Chirico L.
6772
Vandewinkel H.
465

Louisa Chirico defeated Hanne Vandewinkel 6-4 7-6 in the Valencia 125 semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Hanne Vandewinkel came in ranked #98.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Chirico L.serving35% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Vandewinkel H.

Vandewinkel H.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Chirico L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Even
54%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.5
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (59 vs 95). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
28
78
Break points saved·Clear edge
46
70
Break points won·Clear edge
74
91
Deciding sets·Dominant
19
93
Tiebreaks·
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Clay Elo 1516
Surface ELO
6.1+43 Clay Elo edge
1.6Overall Elo 1476
ELO gap
8.4Overall Elo 1690
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.7
Surface form
4.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
88

Vandewinkel H.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast