Alina Charaeva vs Kaitlin QuevedoValencia 125 Round of 32

Valencia 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#118WTA
1694ELO
1652Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWWWLW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 June 2025
clay
#100WTA
1757ELO
1714Clay ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLWLWW
Charaeva A.
6-4 6-4
Quevedo K.
Charaeva A.
662
Quevedo K.
44

Alina Charaeva defeated Kaitlin Quevedo 6-4 6-4 in the Valencia 125 round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Kaitlin Quevedo came in ranked #100, but Alina Charaeva had arrived on a 5-match winning run.

Key context

  • Match story: Alina Charaeva edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Charaeva A.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Quevedo K.

Quevedo K.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Charaeva A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
52%
Aces / match·Even
2.2
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (86 vs 88). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
56
54
Break points saved·Dominant
75
30
Break points won·Slight edge
85
77
Deciding sets·Dominant
69
97
Tiebreaks·
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6Clay Elo 1652
Surface ELO
4.4+63 Clay Elo edge
5.2Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1757
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.6
Surface form
7.8
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
91
69

Charaeva A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 13 games (7d) · Quevedo K.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast