Elise Mertens vs Ekaterina Alexandrovas Hertogenbosch Semi-final

s Hertogenbosch · WTA · Semi-final
#27WTA
1894ELO
1750Grass ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 June 2025
grass
#19WTA
1844ELO
1739Grass ELO
$761kYTD
$10MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
Mertens E.
2-6 7-6 6-4
Alexandrova E.
Mertens E.
27962
Alexandrova E.
66741

Elise Mertens defeated Ekaterina Alexandrova 2-6 7-6 6-4 in the s Hertogenbosch semi-final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Ekaterina Alexandrova came in ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's semi-final. Elise Mertens narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-09DohaR16hardEkaterina Alexandrova6-4 6-2
2021-07-24Tokyo OlympicsR64hardEkaterina Alexandrova4-6 6-4 6-4
2020-11-09LinzSFhardElise Mertens2-6 6-1 7-5
2019-06-10S-HertogenboschR32grassEkaterina Alexandrova6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Mertens E.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Alexandrova E.

Alexandrova E.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
59%
59%
Aces / match·Even
4.5
4.7
Double faults / match·Even
3.8
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (68 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
80
65
Break points saved·Even
90
94
Break points won·Even
96
98
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
61
Tiebreaks·Dominant
75
29

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.9+11 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.1Grass Elo 1739
5.6Overall Elo 1894
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1844
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
5.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
78
90

Mertens E.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Alexandrova E.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast