Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida AguilarLyon CH Final

Lyon CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#99ATP
1627ELO
1621Clay ELO
$395kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
36 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 June 2025
clay
1744ELO
1700Clay ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWW
Trungelliti M.
6-3 4-6 6-3
Merida Aguilar D.
Trungelliti M.
6462
Merida Aguilar D.
3631

Marco Trungelliti defeated Daniel Merida Aguilar 6-3 4-6 6-3 in the Lyon CH final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Daniel Merida Aguilar came in leading the head-to-head 2–1. Marco Trungelliti narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersQ2clayDaniel Merida Aguilar7-6(4) 6-3
2026-04-22Madrid MastersR128clayDaniel Merida Aguilar6-4 1-6 7-6(6)
2022-10-10GijonQ1hardMarco Trungelliti6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Trungelliti M.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Merida Aguilar D.

Merida Aguilar D.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Trungelliti M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.7
2.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 97). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
50
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
87
64
Break points won·Clear edge
24
46
Deciding sets·Even
87
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
19
49

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.2Clay Elo 1621
Surface ELO
5.8+79 Clay Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1627
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1744
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.2
Surface form
6.0
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.2
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
95
93

Trungelliti M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Merida Aguilar D.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Final
Trungelliti M.[8]
Merida Aguilar D.
6-34-66-3
Struff J.[6]
Broady L.
6-46-4