Jessika Ponchet vs Heather Watson — Birmingham 125 Round of 16

Birmingham 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Jessika Ponchet
FRA
Jessika Ponchet
#193WTA
1579ELO
1483Grass ELO
29 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 June 2025
grass
Heather Watson
GBR
Heather Watson
#470WTA
1572ELO
1506Grass ELO
34 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLW
Ponchet J.
6-4 5-7 7-5
Watson H.
Ponchet J.
6572
Watson H.
4751

Jessika Ponchet defeated Heather Watson 6-4 5-7 7-5 in the Birmingham 125 round of 16 on grass.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ponchet J.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Watson H.

Watson H.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Ponchet J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Ponchet J.Watson H.
1st serve in·Even
58%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
43%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
42%
42%
Break points saved·Even
56%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.8
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (86 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Ponchet J.Watson H.
Clutch Rating·Even
23
20
Break points saved·Dominant
75
43
Break points won·Clear edge
45
62
Deciding sets·Clear edge
35
50
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
20
13

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ponchet J.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Watson H.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.2Grass Elo 1483
Surface ELO
5.8+22 Grass Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1579
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1572
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
3.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ponchet J.Watson H.
Freshness·Even
100
100

Ponchet J.: 20 days rest · Watson H.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Minnen G.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-26-1
Semi-finals
Fruhvirtova L.
Ponchet J.
6-20-66-4
Minnen G.
Masarova R.
3-67-677-65
Quarter-finals
Ponchet J.
Xu M.
6-26-4
Fruhvirtova L.
Stefanini L.
6-46-3
Minnen G.
Birrell K.
6-35-76-3
Masarova R.
Montgomery R.
6-20-0
R16
Xu M.
Kawa K.
4-67-56-2
Ponchet J.
Watson H.
6-45-77-5
Fruhvirtova L.
Burrage J.
6-06-4
Masarova R.
Golubic V.
6-27-61
Montgomery R.
Sonmez Z.
7-664-66-4
Minnen G.
Martincova T.
3-67-656-3
Birrell K.
Wei S.
7-56-2
Stefanini L.
Ryser V.
6-37-64
R32
Montgomery R.
Gibson T.
6-42-67-61
Ryser V.
Maria T.
7-627-5
Kawa K.
Andreeva E.
7-56-4
Ponchet J.
Diatchenko V.
6-36-2
Watson H.
Gadecki O.
6-06-3
Fruhvirtova L.
Eala A.
7-56-756-1
Stefanini L.
Banks A.
6-26-4
Golubic V.
Tan H.
6-26-3
Masarova R.
Snigur D.
3-66-26-4
Minnen G.
Hartono A.
6-46-2
Martincova T.
Marino R.
3-66-46-1
Wei S.
Ishii S.
6-36-4
Birrell K.
Inglis M.
6-16-4
Xu M.
Parks A.
6-27-66
Burrage J.
Fett J.
6-36-4
Sonmez Z.
Cabrera L.
6-37-5