Daniel Rincon vs Luca NardiHeilbronn CH Round of 32

Heilbronn CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#205ATP
1522ELO
1469Clay ELO
23 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 June 2025
clay
#160ATP
1585ELO
1537Clay ELO
$213kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWL
Rincon D.
6-3 3-6 6-3
Nardi L.
Rincon D.
6362
Nardi L.
3631

Daniel Rincon defeated Luca Nardi 6-3 3-6 6-3 in the Heilbronn CH round of 32 on clay. Daniel Rincon extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Daniel Rincon closed it out in three sets, 6–3 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-01-29MontpellierQ1hardDaniel Rincon6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rincon D.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Nardi L.

Nardi L.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Rincon D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
63%
Aces / match·Even
3.4
3.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (75 vs 81). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
41
32
Break points saved·Dominant
50
92
Break points won·Clear edge
34
15
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
42
Tiebreaks·Even
16
18

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Clay Elo 1469
Surface ELO
6.9+67 Clay Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1522
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1585
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
4.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
57
90

Rincon D.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 102 games (7d) · Nardi L.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast