Alex Rybakov vs Nicolas MejiaTyler CH Round of 16

Tyler CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#428ATP
1352ELO
1310Hard ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 June 2025
hard
#133ATP
1477ELO
1424Hard ELO
$142kYTD
$524kCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWW
Rybakov A.
6-3 6-4
Mejia N.
Rybakov A.
662
Mejia N.
340

Alex Rybakov defeated Nicolas Mejia 6-3 6-4 in the Tyler CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Nicolas Mejia came in ranked #133, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex Rybakov closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakov A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Mejia N.

Mejia N.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Rybakov A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Even
4.2
4.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (55 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
15
26
Break points saved·Slight edge
84
74
Break points won·Even
5
6
Deciding sets·Clear edge
19
40
Tiebreaks·Dominant
5
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1310
Surface ELO
7.0+114 Hard Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1352
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1477
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
4.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
8.8
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
86
47

Rybakov A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Mejia N.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 116 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast