Mingge Xu vs Katarzyna Kawa — Birmingham 125 Round of 16

Birmingham 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
GBR
Mingge Xu
1405ELO
1326Grass ELO
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 June 2025
grass
Katarzyna Kawa
POL
Katarzyna Kawa
#142WTA
1664ELO
1545Grass ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Xu M.
4-6 7-5 6-2
Kawa K.
Xu M.
4762
Kawa K.
6521

Mingge Xu defeated Katarzyna Kawa 4-6 7-5 6-2 in the Birmingham 125 round of 16 on grass.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Xu M.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Kawa K.

Kawa K.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Xu M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Xu M.Kawa K.
1st serve in·Even
58%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Even
53%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.5
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (48 vs 82). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Xu M.
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Injury return: 35 days (−1.0)
Kawa K.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
2.9Grass Elo 1326
Surface ELO
7.1+218 Grass Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1405
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1664
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
Surface form
1.6
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Xu M.Kawa K.
Freshness·Even
100
97

Xu M.: 15 days rest · Kawa K.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Minnen G.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-26-1
Semi-finals
Fruhvirtova L.
Ponchet J.
6-20-66-4
Minnen G.
Masarova R.
3-67-677-65
Quarter-finals
Ponchet J.
Xu M.
6-26-4
Fruhvirtova L.
Stefanini L.
6-46-3
Minnen G.
Birrell K.
6-35-76-3
Masarova R.
Montgomery R.
6-20-0
R16
Xu M.
Kawa K.
4-67-56-2
Ponchet J.
Watson H.
6-45-77-5
Fruhvirtova L.
Burrage J.
6-06-4
Masarova R.
Golubic V.
6-27-61
Montgomery R.
Sonmez Z.
7-664-66-4
Minnen G.
Martincova T.
3-67-656-3
Birrell K.
Wei S.
7-56-2
Stefanini L.
Ryser V.
6-37-64
R32
Montgomery R.
Gibson T.
6-42-67-61
Ryser V.
Maria T.
7-627-5
Kawa K.
Andreeva E.
7-56-4
Ponchet J.
Diatchenko V.
6-36-2
Watson H.
Gadecki O.
6-06-3
Fruhvirtova L.
Eala A.
7-56-756-1
Stefanini L.
Banks A.
6-26-4
Golubic V.
Tan H.
6-26-3
Masarova R.
Snigur D.
3-66-26-4
Minnen G.
Hartono A.
6-46-2
Martincova T.
Marino R.
3-66-46-1
Wei S.
Ishii S.
6-36-4
Birrell K.
Inglis M.
6-16-4
Xu M.
Parks A.
6-27-66
Burrage J.
Fett J.
6-36-4
Sonmez Z.
Cabrera L.
6-37-5