Brandon Holt vs Adrian Mannarino — Birmingham CH Quarter-final

Birmingham CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
USA
Brandon Holt
#657ATP
1537ELO
1507Grass ELO
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 June 2025
grass
Adrian Mannarino
FRA
Adrian Mannarino
#49ATP
1673ELO
1653Grass ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
Holt B.
6-4 6-3
Mannarino A.
Holt B.
662
Mannarino A.
430

Brandon Holt defeated Adrian Mannarino 6-4 6-3 in the Birmingham CH quarter-final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Adrian Mannarino came in ranked #49.

Key context

  • Match story: Brandon Holt closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Holt B.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Mannarino A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Holt B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Holt B.Mannarino A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.5
4.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
0.9
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (75 vs 93). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Holt B.Mannarino A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
58
65
Break points saved·Slight edge
85
96
Break points won·Dominant
31
66
Deciding sets·Slight edge
79
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
69
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Holt B.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Mannarino A.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.1Grass Elo 1507
Surface ELO
6.9+146 Grass Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1537
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1673
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
Surface form
3.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Holt B.Mannarino A.
Freshness·
—
80

Mannarino A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Virtanen O.
Smith C.
6-46-4
Semi-finals
Smith C.
Hijikata R.[3]
6-36-4
Virtanen O.
Holt B.
6-44-67-63
Quarter-finals
Smith C.
Harris L.
6-36-736-4
Virtanen O.
Wong C.
6-27-5
Holt B.
Mannarino A.
6-46-3
Hijikata R.[3]
Bolt A.
7-626-4
R16
Smith C.
Moreno De Alboran N.
6-30-1
Mannarino A.
Jarry N.
7-666-3
Wong C.
Svajda Z.
4-66-36-2
Hijikata R.[3]
Watanuki Y.
6-16-3
Bolt A.
Tu L.
6-26-3
Virtanen O.
Huesler M.
6-36-766-1
Harris L.
Landaluce M.
6-46-2
Holt B.
Cassone M.
6-26-2
R32
Mannarino A.
Nishioka Y.[2]
7-613-2
Cassone M.
Evans D.
7-657-65
Harris L.
Clarke J.
6-43-66-4
Moreno De Alboran N.
Oconnell C.[5]
6-46-3
Bolt A.
Mcdonald M.[8]
6-47-63
Svajda Z.
Majchrzak K.[7]
6-47-63
Huesler M.
Mayot H.
7-616-4
Holt B.
Duckworth J.[6]
6-27-5
Watanuki Y.
Blockx A.
6-46-4
Wong C.
Monday J.
6-15-76-3
Virtanen O.
Vukic A.[4]
7-646-3
Tu L.
Spizzirri E.
6-36-3
Hijikata R.[3]
Harris B.
6-13-66-4
Landaluce M.
Bellucci M.[1]
4-66-47-65
Smith C.
Uchiyama Y.
6-26-736-4
Jarry N.
Schoolkate T.
6-786-46-4