Jasmine Paolini vs Yue YuanRoland Garros Round of 128

Roland Garros · WTA · Round of 128
#17WTA
1905ELO
1856Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 26 May 2025
clay
#121WTA
1629ELO
1546Clay ELO
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWL
Paolini J.
6-1 4-6 6-3
Yuan Y.
Paolini J.
6462
Yuan Y.
1631

Jasmine Paolini defeated Yue Yuan 6-1 4-6 6-3 in the Roland Garros round of 128 on clay. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's final. Jasmine Paolini extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Jasmine Paolini came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-06WuhanR32hardJasmine Paolini3-6 6-4 6-3
2024-10-07WuhanR32hardJasmine Paolini6-4 6-3
2023-10-02BeijingR32hardJasmine Paolini2-6 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Yuan Y.

Yuan Y.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
2.3
Double faults / match·Even
1.6
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (73 vs 73). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
64
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
81
Break points won·Clear edge
99
77
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
60
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.6+311 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.4Clay Elo 1546
8.3Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
1.7Overall Elo 1629
5.0
H2H
5.0
9.3
Surface form
5.8
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
5.7
Country comfort
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
76

Paolini J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw

R128
Cristian J.
Birrell K.
6-16-0
Kartal S.
Andreeva E.
6-06-2
Frech M.[25]
Jabeur O.
7-646-0
Kudermetova V.
Tomova V.
7-56-1
Krejcikova B.[15]
Maria T.
7-646-3
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Navarro E.[9]
6-06-1
Vondrousova M.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-46-4
Starodubtseva Y.
Korpatsch T.
2-66-16-4
Zheng Q.[8]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-46-3
Arango E.
Eala A.
6-02-66-3
Mboko V.[9]
Sun L.[5]
6-17-64
Yastremska D.
Aiava D.
7-56-1
Anisimova A.[6]
Stojanovic N.
6-34-1
Golubic V.
Kvitova P.
3-66-06-4
Rybakina E.[2]
Riera J.
6-14-66-4
Paolini J.[13]
Yuan Y.[10]
6-14-66-3
Valentova T.
Paquet C.
4-66-37-5
Parks A.
Muchova K.[10]
6-32-66-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Rakhimova K.
6-16-0
Romero Gormaz L.
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
7-636-2
Garland J.
Volynets K.
6-33-66-4
Montgomery R.
Parry D.
6-26-1
Keys M.[19]
Saville D.
6-26-1
Ruse E.
Kessler M.
7-57-63
Potapova A.[28]
Noskova L.[12]
5-76-17-5
Cocciaretto E.
Townsend T.
6-36-2
Lys E.
Stearns P.[28]
6-06-3
Pegula J.[5]
Todoni A.
6-26-4
Samsonova L.[20]
Sherif M.
7-636-2
Krueger A.
Lamens S.[17]
6-36-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Sramkova R.
6-36-3
Gauff C.[4]
Gadecki O.
6-26-2
Boulter K.
Monnet C.
6-746-16-1
Ostapenko J.[29]
Kudermetova P.[16]
5-76-06-2
Azarenka V.
Wickmayer Y.
6-06-0
Collins D.
Burrage J.
7-616-4
Tomljanovic A.
Joint M.
6-16-3
Kalinina A.
Avanesyan E.
6-16-2
Kasatkina D.[17]
Siniakova K.
6-13-66-2
Hibino N.
Uchijima M.
6-17-5
Kenin S.[31]
Gracheva V.
6-36-1
Badosa P.[10]
Osaka N.[16]
6-716-16-4
Bouzkova M.[27]
Kalinskaya A.[22]
6-47-5
Dolehide C.
Minnen G.
3-66-36-4
Raducanu E.
Wang X.
7-54-66-3
Tauson C.[21]
Linette M.
6-44-66-1
Jacquemot E.
Sakkari M.
6-37-64
Jeanjean L.
Begu I.
0-67-53-0
Putintseva Y.[32]
Sierra S.
7-646-2
Pera B.
Garcia C.
6-46-4
Vekic D.[18]
Blinkova A.
7-56-746-1
Rus A.
Osorio C.
4-66-26-4
Teichmann J.
Stefanini L.
6-46-4
Bondar A.
Siegemund L.
7-626-3
Baptiste H.[26]
Haddad Maia B.[23]
4-66-36-1
Li A.[30]
Carle M.
6-46-0
Shnaider D.[25]
Soboleva A.
7-636-2
Jovic I.[17]
Zarazua R.
6-35-76-4
Boisson L.
Mertens E.[23]
6-44-66-3
Alexandrova E.[14]
Bronzetti L.
6-36-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Bucsa C.[31]
6-46-3
Bejlek S.
Kostyuk M.[15]
6-36-1
Svitolina E.[7]
Sonmez Z.
6-16-1
Danilovic O.
Fernandez L.[24]
6-36-1