Jasmine Paolini vs Yuliia Starodubtseva — Roland Garros Round of 32

Roland Garros · WTA · Round of 32
Jasmine Paolini
ITA13
Jasmine Paolini
#17WTA
1905ELO
1856Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 May 2025
clay
Yuliia Starodubtseva
UKR
Yuliia Starodubtseva
#55WTA
1759ELO
1719Clay ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLWL
Paolini J.
6-4 6-1
Starodubtseva Y.
Paolini J.
662
Starodubtseva Y.
410

Jasmine Paolini defeated Yuliia Starodubtseva 6-4 6-1 in the Roland Garros round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, defending last year's final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Starodubtseva Y.

Starodubtseva Y.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Paolini J.Starodubtseva Y.
—
Serve
61
—
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Paolini J.Starodubtseva Y.
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (73 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Paolini J.Starodubtseva Y.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
89
75
Break points saved·Even
87
89
Break points won·Even
99
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
66
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
93
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paolini J.
8.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Starodubtseva Y.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+137 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Clay Elo 1719
7.4Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1759
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
9.3
Surface form
4.7
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
5.7
Country comfort
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Paolini J.Starodubtseva Y.
Freshness·Clear edge
72
95

Paolini J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Starodubtseva Y.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw

Final
Gauff C.[4]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-756-26-4
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Swiatek I.[3]
7-614-66-0
Gauff C.[4]
Boisson L.
6-16-2
Quarter-finals
Gauff C.[4]
Keys M.[19]
6-766-46-1
Swiatek I.[3]
Svitolina E.[7]
6-17-5
Sabalenka A.[1]
Zheng Q.[8]
7-636-3
Boisson L.
Andreeva M.[8]
7-666-3
R16
Andreeva M.[8]
Kasatkina D.[17]
6-37-5
Zheng Q.[8]
Samsonova L.[20]
7-651-66-3
Swiatek I.[3]
Rybakina E.[2]
1-66-37-5
Sabalenka A.[1]
Anisimova A.[6]
7-56-3
Boisson L.
Pegula J.[5]
3-66-46-4
Svitolina E.[7]
Paolini J.[13]
4-67-666-1
Gauff C.[4]
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-07-5
Keys M.[19]
Baptiste H.[26]
6-37-5
R32
Keys M.[19]
Kenin S.[31]
4-66-37-5
Svitolina E.[7]
Pera B.
7-647-65
Gauff C.[4]
Bouzkova M.[27]
6-17-63
Anisimova A.[6]
Tauson C.[21]
7-646-4
Alexandrova E.[14]
Kudermetova V.
6-26-2
Baptiste H.[26]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
7-646-1
Samsonova L.[20]
Yastremska D.
6-26-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Danilovic O.
6-26-3
Kasatkina D.[17]
Badosa P.[10]
6-17-5
Boisson L.
Jacquemot E.
6-30-67-5
Paolini J.[13]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-46-1
Rybakina E.[2]
Ostapenko J.[29]
6-26-2
Pegula J.[5]
Vondrousova M.
3-66-46-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Putintseva Y.[32]
6-36-1
Zheng Q.[8]
Mboko V.[9]
6-36-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Cristian J.
6-27-5
R64
Tauson C.[21]
Rus A.
7-627-5
Bouzkova M.[27]
Kartal S.
6-16-4
Andreeva M.[8]
Krueger A.
6-36-4
Badosa P.[10]
Ruse E.
3-66-46-4
Boisson L.
Kalinina A.
6-16-2
Zheng Q.[8]
Arango E.
6-26-3
Ostapenko J.[29]
Dolehide C.
5-76-36-3
Cristian J.
Bejlek S.
1-66-36-3
Kudermetova V.
Krejcikova B.[15]
6-06-3
Paolini J.[13]
Tomljanovic A.
6-36-3
Jacquemot E.
Parks A.
6-26-746-1
Pera B.
Vekic D.[18]
6-24-67-63
Kasatkina D.[17]
Jeanjean L.
6-46-2
Rybakina E.[2]
Jovic I.[17]
6-36-3
Putintseva Y.[32]
Garland J.
7-656-3
Kenin S.[31]
Azarenka V.
7-656-4
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Montgomery R.
6-44-67-5
Vondrousova M.
Frech M.[25]
6-04-66-3
Danilovic O.
Collins D.
6-43-66-4
Starodubtseva Y.
Potapova A.[28]
7-646-2
Samsonova L.[20]
Romero Gormaz L.
6-36-3
Pegula J.[5]
Li A.[30]
6-37-63
Swiatek I.[3]
Raducanu E.
6-16-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Teichmann J.
6-36-1
Mboko V.[9]
Lys E.
6-46-4
Baptiste H.[26]
Hibino N.
6-36-2
Alexandrova E.[14]
Cocciaretto E.
6-16-3
Yastremska D.
Shnaider D.[25]
7-57-5
Svitolina E.[7]
Bondar A.
7-647-5
Gauff C.[4]
Valentova T.
6-26-4
Keys M.[19]
Boulter K.
6-16-3
Anisimova A.[6]
Golubic V.
6-06-2
R128
Cristian J.
Birrell K.
6-16-0
Kartal S.
Andreeva E.
6-06-2
Frech M.[25]
Jabeur O.
7-646-0
Kudermetova V.
Tomova V.
7-56-1
Krejcikova B.[15]
Maria T.
7-646-3
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Navarro E.[9]
6-06-1
Vondrousova M.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-46-4
Starodubtseva Y.
Korpatsch T.
2-66-16-4
Zheng Q.[8]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-46-3
Arango E.
Eala A.
6-02-66-3
Mboko V.[9]
Sun L.[5]
6-17-64
Yastremska D.
Aiava D.
7-56-1
Anisimova A.[6]
Stojanovic N.
6-34-1
Golubic V.
Kvitova P.
3-66-06-4
Rybakina E.[2]
Riera J.
6-14-66-4
Paolini J.[13]
Yuan Y.[10]
6-14-66-3
Valentova T.
Paquet C.
4-66-37-5
Parks A.
Muchova K.[10]
6-32-66-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Rakhimova K.
6-16-0
Romero Gormaz L.
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
7-636-2
Garland J.
Volynets K.
6-33-66-4
Montgomery R.
Parry D.
6-26-1
Keys M.[19]
Saville D.
6-26-1
Ruse E.
Kessler M.
7-57-63
Potapova A.[28]
Noskova L.[12]
5-76-17-5
Cocciaretto E.
Townsend T.
6-36-2
Lys E.
Stearns P.[28]
6-06-3
Pegula J.[5]
Todoni A.
6-26-4
Samsonova L.[20]
Sherif M.
7-636-2
Krueger A.
Lamens S.[17]
6-36-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Sramkova R.
6-36-3
Gauff C.[4]
Gadecki O.
6-26-2
Boulter K.
Monnet C.
6-746-16-1
Ostapenko J.[29]
Kudermetova P.[16]
5-76-06-2
Azarenka V.
Wickmayer Y.
6-06-0
Collins D.
Burrage J.
7-616-4
Tomljanovic A.
Joint M.
6-16-3
Kalinina A.
Avanesyan E.
6-16-2
Kasatkina D.[17]
Siniakova K.
6-13-66-2
Hibino N.
Uchijima M.
6-17-5
Kenin S.[31]
Gracheva V.
6-36-1
Badosa P.[10]
Osaka N.[16]
6-716-16-4
Bouzkova M.[27]
Kalinskaya A.[22]
6-47-5
Dolehide C.
Minnen G.
3-66-36-4
Raducanu E.
Wang X.
7-54-66-3
Tauson C.[21]
Linette M.
6-44-66-1
Jacquemot E.
Sakkari M.
6-37-64
Jeanjean L.
Begu I.
0-67-53-0
Putintseva Y.[32]
Sierra S.
7-646-2
Pera B.
Garcia C.
6-46-4
Vekic D.[18]
Blinkova A.
7-56-746-1
Rus A.
Osorio C.
4-66-26-4
Teichmann J.
Stefanini L.
6-46-4
Bondar A.
Siegemund L.
7-626-3
Baptiste H.[26]
Haddad Maia B.[23]
4-66-36-1
Li A.[30]
Carle M.
6-46-0
Shnaider D.[25]
Soboleva A.
7-636-2
Jovic I.[17]
Zarazua R.
6-35-76-4
Boisson L.
Mertens E.[23]
6-44-66-3
Alexandrova E.[14]
Bronzetti L.
6-36-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Bucsa C.[31]
6-46-3
Bejlek S.
Kostyuk M.[15]
6-36-1
Svitolina E.[7]
Sonmez Z.
6-16-1
Danilovic O.
Fernandez L.[24]
6-36-1