Naoki Nakagawa vs Alexis GalarneauLittle Rock CH Round of 16

Little Rock CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#776ATP
1289ELO
1271Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 May 2025
hard
#158ATP
1593ELO
1548Hard ELO
$166kYTD
$825kCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWWL
Nakagawa N.
6-3 6-4
Galarneau A.
Nakagawa N.
662
Galarneau A.
340

Naoki Nakagawa defeated Alexis Galarneau 6-3 6-4 in the Little Rock CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexis Galarneau came in ranked #158, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nakagawa N.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Galarneau A.

Galarneau A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Nakagawa N.

Serve advantage — Galarneau A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
39%
Break points saved·Even
58%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.8
3.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 97). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
3
28
Break points saved·Clear edge
57
79
Break points won·Clear edge
1
16
Deciding sets·Slight edge
12
22
Tiebreaks·Dominant
17
61

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
1.4Hard Elo 1271
Surface ELO
8.6+278 Hard Elo edge
1.2Overall Elo 1289
ELO gap
8.8Overall Elo 1593
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
2.6
Surface form
5.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
59

Galarneau A.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 113 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast