Caty Mcnally vs Maja ChwalinskaW75 Brescia Quarter-final

W75 Brescia · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#57WTA
1817ELO
1746Clay ELO
$711kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 May 2025
clay
#22WTA
1833ELO
1801Clay ELO
$1.7MYTD
$2.5MCAREER
24 yrs · 164 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWW
Mcnally C.
6-4 6-3
Chwalinska M.
Mcnally C.
662
Chwalinska M.
43

Caty Mcnally defeated Maja Chwalinska 6-4 6-3 in the W75 Brescia quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Maja Chwalinska came in ranked #22.

Key context

  • Match story: Caty Mcnally closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Mcnally C.serving40% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Chwalinska M.

Chwalinska M.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Mcnally C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Mcnally C.Chwalinska M.
0
Serve
50
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
71%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
51%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Even
47%
48%
Break points saved·Even
56%
54%
Aces / match·Even
1.3
1.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (77 vs 76). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
73
65
Break points saved·Clear edge
73
50
Break points won·Even
99
98
Deciding sets·Slight edge
74
80
Tiebreaks·
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2Clay Elo 1746
Surface ELO
4.8+54 Clay Elo edge
5.7Overall Elo 1817
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1833
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
4.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
100

Mcnally C.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Chwalinska M.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast