Maria Lourdes Carle vs Katarzyna Kawa — Roland Garros Qualifying Round 2

Roland Garros · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
ARG
Maria Lourdes Carle
#232WTA
1484ELO
1461Clay ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 26 May 2025
clay
Katarzyna Kawa
POL
Katarzyna Kawa
#119WTA
1664ELO
1662Clay ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Carle M.
4-6 6-4 6-2
Kawa K.
Carle M.
4662
Kawa K.
6421

Maria Lourdes Carle defeated Katarzyna Kawa 4-6 6-4 6-2 in the Roland Garros qualifying round 2 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Katarzyna Kawa came in ranked #119, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Maria Lourdes Carle claimed a first win over Katarzyna Kawa in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-11-25Buenos Aires 125SFclayKatarzyna Kawa6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Carle M.serving30% hold

wins 42% of points on serve vs Kawa K.

Kawa K.serving35% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Carle M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Carle M.Kawa K.
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
40%
45%
Service points won·Even
51%
55%
Return points won·Even
48%
46%
Break points saved·Even
51%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.8
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (80 vs 82). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Carle M.Kawa K.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
27
51
Break points saved·Slight edge
26
15
Break points won·Even
97
93
Deciding sets·Dominant
56
88
Tiebreaks·Dominant
5
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Carle M.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Kawa K.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Clay Elo 1461
Surface ELO
7.0+201 Clay Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1484
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1664
5.4
H2H
4.6
4.7
Surface form
7.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Carle M.Kawa K.
Freshness·Slight edge
84
94

Carle M.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Kawa K.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast

Draw — qualifying

Q3
Monnet C.
Dmitruk K.
6-46-4
Romero Gormaz L.
Klimovicova L.
6-46-4
Garland J.
Friedsam A.
6-47-5
Valentova T.
Waltert S.
6-26-4
Stefanini L.
Erjavec V.
6-36-2
Mboko V.
Juvan K.
7-56-3
Carle M.
Mikulskyte J.
6-06-1
Korpatsch T.
Masarova R.
6-27-62
Hibino N.
Seidel E.
2-67-56-4
Bejlek S.
Starodubtseva Y.
6-06-4
Saville D.
Townsend T.
2-66-26-4
Sierra S.
Wang X.
6-36-2
Riera J.
Bulgaru M.
6-46-1
Selekhmeteva O.
Radivojevic L.
6-42-66-4
Soboleva A.
Jones F.
6-00-66-2
Stojanovic N.
Lepchenko V.
4-66-17-5
Q2
Hibino N.
Andreescu B.
2-67-656-4
Sierra S.
Snigur D.
6-26-2
Wang X.
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.
7-686-3
Juvan K.
Chwalinska M.
6-34-66-2
Romero Gormaz L.
Sharma A.
7-656-2
Starodubtseva Y.
Zidansek T.
3-66-26-3
Waltert S.
Zhang S.
6-46-3
Stefanini L.
Sasnovich A.
6-11-66-3
Bejlek S.
Shibahara E.
7-52-67-610
Valentova T.
Galfi D.
6-46-1
Erjavec V.
Brancaccio N.
7-656-1
Van Assche L.
Skatov T.
6-736-26-2
Mboko V.
Von Deichmann K.
6-36-2
Garland J.
Marcinko P.
6-36-4
Friedsam A.
Errani S.
1-66-07-67
Klimovicova L.
Sawangkaew M.
6-26-3
Townsend T.
Chang H.
4-66-37-5
Saville D.
Mpetshi Perricard D.
6-26-1
Mikulskyte J.
Koevermans A.
7-636-2
Carle M.
Kawa K.
4-66-46-2
Masarova R.
Branstine C.
6-06-3
Korpatsch T.
Stakusic M.
6-26-1
Monnet C.
Ferro F.
7-56-2
Dmitruk K.
Inglis M.
7-56-3
Seidel E.
Udvardy P.
3-66-26-3
Bulgaru M.
Tig P.
6-44-67-5
Riera J.
Gibson T.
6-46-1
Selekhmeteva O.
Ruzic A.
6-36-3
Radivojevic L.
Costoulas S.
6-13-67-69
Soboleva A.
Belgraver J.
6-36-4
Jones F.
Hontama M.
2-66-36-4
Lepchenko V.
Fett J.
1-66-46-3
Stojanovic N.
Rouvroy M.
3-67-57-5
Q1
Costoulas S.
Bartashevich Y.
6-46-1
Soboleva A.
Dart H.
6-16-2
Gibson T.
Buzarnescu M.
6-26-3
Ruzic A.
Inoue H.
6-16-1
Bulgaru M.
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-17-69
Tig P.
Cross K.
6-46-2
Andreescu B.
Yao X.
6-06-0
Shibahara E.
Lim J.
6-46-1
Garin C.
Mayot H.
6-36-4
Klein L.
Den Ouden G.
7-633-66-4
Napolitano S.
Smith C.
6-44-66-2
Vacherot V.
Taberner C.
6-26-4
Erjavec V.
Semenistaja D.
2-66-36-4
Chang H.
Kung L.
6-46-0
Saville D.
Watson H.
7-626-2
Sierra S.
Bandecchi S.
7-656-3
Radivojevic L.
Ponchet J.
6-36-1
Hontama M.
Pridankina E.
6-27-5
Jones F.
Boskovic L.
6-26-3
Lepchenko V.
Preston T.
6-47-5
Starodubtseva Y.
Vandewinkel H.
6-36-1
Zidansek T.
Salkova D.
6-17-5
Hassan B.
Kotov P.
7-637-5
Squire H.
Meligeni Alves F.
3-66-16-4
Tabur C.
Tu L.
3-66-37-5
Burruchaga R.
Lestienne C.
6-37-66
Basilashvili N.
Brouwer G.
6-36-2
Misolic F.
Draxl L.
6-26-2
Coria F.
Bouquier A.
7-53-66-3
Gomez F.
Malige M.
6-36-3
Tirante T.
Ficovich J.
6-26-2
Gaubas V.
Ajdukovic D.
6-746-46-4
Marterer M.
Butvilas E.
6-37-65
Virtanen O.
Escoffier A.
7-636-3
Van Assche L.
Mannarino A.
6-37-5
Tomic B.
Wong C.
7-626-3
Hanfmann Y.
Buse I.
6-24-66-3
Blancaneaux G.
Kukushkin M.
6-16-1
Blanchet U.
Rodesch C.
7-656-4
Coppejans K.
Shimizu Y.
6-36-1
Galan D.
Jasika O.
6-34-66-1
Erhard M.
Mccabe J.
6-16-1
Gea A.
Blockx A.
4-66-46-3
Gueymard Wayenburg S.
Van Rijthoven T.
7-646-0
Guillen Meza A.
Pacheco Mendez R.
6-46-3
Jacquet K.
Daniel T.
6-16-4
Boyer T.
Rincon D.
7-656-4
Ramos A.
Sultanov K.
6-16-1
Zeppieri G.
Choinski J.
6-47-65
Skatov T.
Kachmazov A.
6-36-4
Popko D.
Dougaz A.
7-643-67-67
Neumayer L.
Trungelliti M.
6-36-3
Quinn E.
Lajal M.
7-57-5
Gigante M.
Kym J.
6-33-66-3
Svrcina D.
Barrere G.
6-26-4
Spizzirri E.
Grenier H.
7-664-67-66
Rodionov J.
Eubanks C.
7-646-3
Seyboth Wild T.
Uchiyama Y.
6-36-3
Barrios Vera T.
Pavlovic L.
6-46-3
Habib H.
Mena F.
6-717-656-1
Rocha H.
Bertrand R.
7-656-2
Cilic M.
Wu Y.
6-26-3
Moreno De Alboran N.
Fognini F.
6-36-2
Moller E.
Bagnis F.
6-47-5
Cerundolo J.
Onclin G.
7-646-4
Droguet T.
Coric B.
5-77-696-2
Evans D.
Harris B.
7-56-3
Svajda Z.
Zhukayev B.
7-56-3
Trotter J.
Holt B.
6-16-4
Arnaboldi F.
Tseng C.
6-33-66-3
Harris L.
Huesler M.
6-46-2
Holmgren A.
Cassone M.
6-26-3
Collarini A.
Basavareddy N.
7-55-76-4
Shevchenko A.
Mochizuki S.
6-726-26-4
Nagal S.
Krueger M.
6-16-1
Mmoh M.
Hemery C.
6-737-56-3
Martineau M.
Galarneau A.
7-652-66-3
Martin Tiffon P.
Kouame M.
2-66-46-3
Jianu F.
Kovalik J.
2-67-646-4
Kubler J.
Moro Canas A.
6-43-66-2
Landaluce M.
Dellien Velasco M.
6-43-67-68
Llamas Ruiz P.
Bolt A.
4-66-47-5
Snigur D.
Bolkvadze M.
6-36-0
Bejlek S.
Barthel M.
6-06-4
Galfi D.
Bogdan A.
6-36-4
Valentova T.
Rodionova A.
6-26-2
Waltert S.
Serban R.
6-37-5
Zhang S.
Hunter S.
6-36-2
Sasnovich A.
Prozorova T.
6-46-3
Stefanini L.
Leonard M.
7-676-4
Brancaccio N.
Hartono A.
6-46-3
Marcinko P.
Ito A.
7-56-2
Garland J.
Naef C.
7-636-3
Friedsam A.
Efremova K.
6-17-5
Errani S.
Niemeier J.
0-67-646-2
Sawangkaew M.
Cabrera L.
6-46-2
Klimovicova L.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-46-4
Sharma A.
Bektas E.
6-06-0
Romero Gormaz L.
Astakhova D.
6-16-1
Townsend T.
Saito S.
7-617-66
Mpetshi Perricard D.
Knutson G.
6-46-3
Von Deichmann K.
Marino R.
6-16-0
Mboko V.
Kraus S.
6-46-2
Juvan K.
Tararudee L.
7-56-3
Chwalinska M.
Langlais C.
6-44-66-0
Koevermans A.
Zakharova A.
6-767-57-69
Mikulskyte J.
Makarova E.
6-47-64
Kawa K.
Andrianjafitrimo T.
6-46-3
Carle M.
Inisan E.
6-26-1
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.
Palicova B.
4-66-27-63
Wang X.
Janicijevic S.
1-66-16-2
Masarova R.
Glushko L.
6-06-2
Branstine C.
Osuigwe W.
6-46-2
Korpatsch T.
Chirico L.
6-44-66-3
Stakusic M.
Davis L.
6-46-4
Monnet C.
Martic P.
2-67-57-5
Ferro F.
Pigossi L.
6-27-5
Inglis M.
Shymanovich I.
6-16-1
Dmitruk K.
Wei S.
6-17-5
Seidel E.
Voegele S.
6-30-66-3
Udvardy P.
Ishii S.
6-26-1
Hibino N.
Lazaro Garcia A.
7-646-4
Riera J.
Ryser V.
2-66-46-1
Selekhmeteva O.
Okamura K.
6-36-2
Belgraver J.
Shi H.
6-36-2
Fett J.
Hon P.
6-24-67-610
Rouvroy M.
Kaji H.
6-777-57-63
Stojanovic N.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-23-66-2