Lorenzo Carboni vs Francesco Maestrelli — Vicenza CH Round of 32

Vicenza CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
ITA
Lorenzo Carboni
#471ATP
1161ELO
1166Clay ELO
20 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 May 2025
clay
Francesco Maestrelli
ITA
Francesco Maestrelli
#149ATP
1538ELO
1466Clay ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
Carboni L.
6-3 7-5
Maestrelli F.
Carboni L.
672
Maestrelli F.
350

Lorenzo Carboni defeated Francesco Maestrelli 6-3 7-5 in the Vicenza CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Francesco Maestrelli came in ranked #149, but Lorenzo Carboni had been the form player, winning 3 of their last 6 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carboni L.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Maestrelli F.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Carboni L.

Serve advantage — Maestrelli F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Carboni L.Maestrelli F.
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
51%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.0
6.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (53 vs 95). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Carboni L.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Maestrelli F.
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.0Clay Elo 1166
Surface ELO
9.0+301 Clay Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1161
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 1538
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
3.5
Surface form
5.5
Fatigue & Travel
7.7
Minutes 14d
7.0
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Carboni L.Maestrelli F.
Freshness·
—
97

Maestrelli F.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Tseng C.[1]
Neumayer L.[6]
6-36-4
Semi-finals
Neumayer L.[6]
Kym J.[2]
W/O
Tseng C.[1]
Rodesch C.[3]
6-46-3
Quarter-finals
Kym J.[2]
Ajdukovic D.[5]
6-787-637-66
Rodesch C.[3]
Mena F.
6-36-1
Tseng C.[1]
Schwaerzler J.
7-56-4
Neumayer L.[6]
Buse I.[4]
6-32-67-66
R16
Schwaerzler J.
Cecchinato M.
6-36-1
Mena F.
Hsu Y.
7-57-66
Neumayer L.[6]
Skatov T.
3-67-636-4
Rodesch C.[3]
Klizan M.
6-46-3
Kym J.[2]
Carboni L.
7-684-66-3
Tseng C.[1]
Bondioli F.
6-31-66-3
Buse I.[4]
Castagnola L.
6-36-2
Ajdukovic D.[5]
Vallejo A.
7-56-4
R32
Kym J.[2]
Shelbayh A.
6-46-763-0
Skatov T.
Onclin G.
6-17-64
Carboni L.
Maestrelli F.
6-37-5
Tseng C.[1]
Dellien Velasco M.
6-36-3
Mena F.
Kovalik J.
6-23-66-1
Hsu Y.
Arnaboldi F.[7]
6-27-66
Buse I.[4]
Moro Canas A.
6-42-67-5
Rodesch C.[3]
Erhard M.
6-46-3
Schwaerzler J.
Bueno G.
6-44-66-4
Ajdukovic D.[5]
Roca Batalla O.
6-43-66-3
Vallejo A.
Durasovic V.
6-746-37-66
Klizan M.
Santamarta Roig A.
7-636-4
Bondioli F.
Jianu F.
7-636-2
Cecchinato M.
Holmgren A.[8]
6-46-3
Castagnola L.
Pavlovic L.
6-44-67-5
Neumayer L.[6]
Pacheco Mendez R.
6-25-76-3