Andres Andrade vs Naoki Nakagawa — Little Rock CH Quarter-final

Little Rock CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
ECU
Andres Andrade
1505ELO
1427Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 May 2025
hard
JPN
Naoki Nakagawa
#776ATP
1289ELO
1271Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLL
Andrade A.
6-4 6-1
Nakagawa N.
Andrade A.
662
Nakagawa N.
410

Andres Andrade defeated Naoki Nakagawa 6-4 6-1 in the Little Rock CH quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Andres Andrade came in defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Andrade A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Nakagawa N.

Nakagawa N.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Andrade A.

Serve advantage — Andrade A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Andrade A.Nakagawa N.
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
54%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
35%
Break points saved·Even
59%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.4
6.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Andrade A.Nakagawa N.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
44
3
Break points saved·Even
53
57
Break points won·Dominant
50
1
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
12
Tiebreaks·Dominant
91
17

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Andrade A.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Nakagawa N.
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
7.3+156 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1271
7.9Overall Elo 1505
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1289
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.9
Surface form
2.6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Andrade A.Nakagawa N.
Freshness·
100
—

Andrade A.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Final
Kypson P.
Zheng M.
6-11-67-5
Semi-finals
Kypson P.
Andrade A.
6-36-2
Zheng M.
Draxl L.[2]
6-46-4
Quarter-finals
Draxl L.[2]
Miyoshi K.
7-646-4
Kypson P.
Noguchi R.
6-16-2
Zheng M.
Martin A.
6-46-2
Andrade A.
Nakagawa N.
6-46-1
R16
Andrade A.
Kozlov S.
6-14-67-5
Zheng M.
Soriano Barrera A.
6-26-1
Martin A.
Shimizu Y.[3]
6-16-4
Noguchi R.
Jubb P.[8]
7-56-3
Draxl L.[2]
Maloney P.
6-46-1
Miyoshi K.
Milavsky D.
6-26-4
Kypson P.
Zink T.
6-46-4
Nakagawa N.
Galarneau A.[4]
6-36-4
R32
Miyoshi K.
Rodriguez Taverna S.[5]
7-55-1
Zink T.
Wu T.
7-635-4
Jubb P.[8]
Sell K.
7-56-3
Nakagawa N.
Kotzen A.
6-46-4
Draxl L.[2]
Jodar R.
7-56-2
Kozlov S.
Dougaz A.[7]
5-76-36-2
Zheng M.
Langmo C.
6-26-2
Kypson P.
Krueger M.[1]
6-34-66-4
Shimizu Y.[3]
Mejia N.
7-646-0
Milavsky D.
Bouzige M.
6-46-4
Noguchi R.
Zhou Y.
6-46-4
Martin A.
Chung H.
6-36-2
Andrade A.
Ivashka I.
7-646-2
Maloney P.
Kicker N.
5-76-26-3
Soriano Barrera A.
Escoffier A.[6]
7-57-64
Galarneau A.[4]
Nanda G.
6-36-3