Matteo Arnaldi vs Felix Auger Aliassime — Roland Garros Round of 128

Roland Garros · ATP · Round of 128
Matteo Arnaldi
ITA
Matteo Arnaldi
#35ATP
1830ELO
1830Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 26 May 2025
clay
Felix Auger Aliassime
CAN4
Felix Auger Aliassime
#4ATP
1958ELO
1864Clay ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
Arnaldi M.
5-7 2-6 6-3 6-4 6-2
Auger Aliassime F.
Arnaldi M.
526663
Auger Aliassime F.
763422

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Felix Auger Aliassime 5-7 2-6 6-3 6-4 6-2 in the Roland Garros round of 128 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Felix Auger Aliassime came in ranked #4, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Auger Aliassime F.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Serve advantage — Auger Aliassime F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Arnaldi M.Auger Aliassime F.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
69%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.6
10.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.4
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (61 vs 98). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Arnaldi M.Auger Aliassime F.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
84
Break points saved·Even
97
100
Break points won·Even
51
50
Deciding sets·Clear edge
86
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Arnaldi M.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Auger Aliassime F.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Clay Elo 1830
Surface ELO
6.8+34 Clay Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 1958
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
4.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.5
Minutes 14d
5.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
5.8
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Arnaldi M.Auger Aliassime F.
Freshness·Dominant
94
53

Arnaldi M.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Auger Aliassime F.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 112 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 53%
Final
Alcaraz C.[2]
Sinner J.[1]
4-66-746-47-637-62
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Djokovic N.[3]
6-47-57-63
Alcaraz C.[2]
Musetti L.[8]
4-67-636-02-0
Quarter-finals
Alcaraz C.[2]
Paul T.[24]
6-06-16-4
Musetti L.[8]
Tiafoe F.[19]
6-24-67-56-2
Sinner J.[1]
Bublik A.[9]
6-17-56-0
Djokovic N.[3]
Zverev A.[2]
4-66-36-26-4
R16
Tiafoe F.[19]
Altmaier D.
6-36-47-64
Sinner J.[1]
Rublev A.[11]
6-16-36-4
Zverev A.[2]
Griekspoor T.[29]
6-43-0
Alcaraz C.[2]
Shelton B.[5]
7-686-34-66-4
Musetti L.[8]
Rune H.[10]
7-53-66-36-2
Paul T.[24]
Popyrin A.[25]
6-36-36-3
Bublik A.[9]
Draper J.[5]
5-76-36-26-4
Djokovic N.[3]
Norrie C.
6-26-36-2
R32
Sinner J.[1]
Lehecka J.[12]
6-06-16-2
Musetti L.[8]
Navone M.
4-66-46-36-2
Popyrin A.[25]
Borges N.
6-47-6117-65
Rublev A.[11]
Fils A.[14]
W/O
Bublik A.[9]
Rocha H.[11]
7-56-16-2
Tiafoe F.[19]
Korda S.[23]
7-666-36-4
Djokovic N.[3]
Misolic F.
6-36-46-2
Paul T.[24]
Khachanov K.[13]
6-33-67-673-66-3
Norrie C.
Fearnley J.
6-37-616-2
Zverev A.[2]
Cobolli F.[10]
6-27-646-1
Rune H.[10]
Halys Q.
4-66-25-77-56-2
Altmaier D.
Medjedovic H.
4-66-36-36-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Dzumhur D.
6-16-34-66-4
Griekspoor T.[29]
Quinn E.
4-66-16-726-16-4
Draper J.[5]
Fonseca J.[28]
6-26-46-2
Shelton B.[5]
Gigante M.
6-36-36-4
R64
Djokovic N.[3]
Moutet C.[30]
6-36-27-61
Cobolli F.[10]
Arnaldi M.
6-36-36-766-1
Quinn E.
Shevchenko A.
6-44-66-757-637-5
Misolic F.
Shapovalov D.[27]
7-657-664-64-66-3
Norrie C.
Gomez F.
7-676-26-1
Korda S.[23]
Brooksby J.
6-16-27-62
Dzumhur D.
Mpetshi Perricard G.[31]
7-646-34-66-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Marozsan F.
6-14-66-16-2
Rune H.[10]
Nava E.
6-37-656-3
Shelton B.[5]
Gaston H.
W/O
Fearnley J.
Humbert U.[32]
6-34-4
Paul T.[24]
Fucsovics M.
4-62-66-37-56-4
Borges N.
Ruud C.[15]
2-66-46-16-0
Lehecka J.[12]
Davidovich Fokina A.[21]
6-33-66-16-2
Gigante M.
Tsitsipas S.[20]
6-45-76-26-4
Navone M.
Opelka R.
6-17-616-3
Medjedovic H.
Cerundolo J.
6-36-47-5
Halys Q.
Kecmanovic M.
4-66-37-627-5
Fils A.[14]
Munar J.
7-637-642-60-66-4
Altmaier D.
Kopriva V.
6-24-66-37-5
Draper J.[5]
Monfils G.
6-34-66-37-5
Musetti L.[8]
Galan D.
6-46-06-4
Sinner J.[1]
Gasquet R.
6-36-06-4
Popyrin A.[25]
Tabilo A.
7-56-36-4
Bublik A.[9]
De Minaur A.[8]
2-62-66-46-36-2
Zverev A.[2]
De Jong J.
3-66-16-26-3
Rublev A.[11]
Walton A.
7-616-17-65
Khachanov K.[13]
Ofner S.
7-53-67-54-66-2
Griekspoor T.[29]
Diallo G.
7-57-631-66-3
Fonseca J.[28]
Herbert P.
7-647-646-4
Rocha H.[11]
Mensik J.[26]
2-61-66-46-36-3
Tiafoe F.[19]
Carreno Busta P.
6-46-36-1
R128
Altmaier D.
Fritz T.[7]
7-53-66-36-1
Quinn E.
Dimitrov G.[16]
2-63-66-2
Mensik J.[26]
Muller A.
7-56-757-56-3
Fucsovics M.
Schoolkate T.[15]
6-46-26-2
Kopriva V.
Monteiro T.
6-46-34-66-766-1
Fearnley J.
Wawrinka S.
7-666-36-2
Shelton B.[5]
Sonego L.
6-44-63-66-26-3
Halys Q.
Machac T.[21]
7-644-1
Dzumhur D.
Tirante T.
3-66-46-37-5
Herbert P.
Bonzi B.
7-53-64-67-56-2
Rune H.[10]
Bautista Agut R.
6-746-46-36-2
Galan D.
Royer V.
7-666-33-66-747-5
Khachanov K.[13]
Vukic A.
6-46-46-4
De Jong J.
Passaro F.
3-66-776-47-616-1
Borges N.
Jacquet K.
3-66-736-46-36-3
Tiafoe F.[19]
Safiullin R.
6-47-56-4
Tabilo A.
Cazaux A.
5-76-36-21-66-3
Walton A.
Marterer M.
7-634-66-32-66-2
Moutet C.[30]
Tabur C.
6-37-666-3
Popyrin A.[25]
Nishioka Y.
7-56-41-2
Rublev A.[11]
Harris L.[31]
6-44-66-36-1
Paul T.[24]
Moller E.
6-756-26-36-1
Misolic F.
Yunchaokete B.
5-77-637-646-1
Gaston H.
Blanchet U.
2-66-02-66-36-4
Diallo G.
Cerundolo F.[25]
7-56-36-4
Sinner J.[1]
Rinderknech A.[22]
6-46-37-5
Navone M.
Nakashima B.[31]
7-624-66-16-2
Medjedovic H.
Majchrzak K.
6-36-37-62
Cobolli F.[10]
Cilic M.
6-26-16-3
Griekspoor T.[29]
Giron M.
4-66-36-47-5
Zverev A.[2]
Tien L.[18]
6-36-36-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[21]
Llamas Ruiz P.
6-36-26-746-3
Alcaraz C.[2]
Zeppieri G.
6-36-46-2
Opelka R.
Hijikata R.
1-66-37-57-63
Munar J.
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-46-17-5
Gomez F.
Kovacevic A.
4-66-46-46-1
Musetti L.[8]
Hanfmann Y.
7-56-26-0
Carreno Busta P.
Comesana F.
6-27-637-5
Cerundolo J.
Michelsen A.[32]
6-36-26-4
Draper J.[5]
Bellucci M.
3-66-16-46-2
Gigante M.
Hassan B.
6-46-26-0
De Minaur A.[8]
Djere L.
6-36-47-66
Ofner S.
Struff J.
7-656-36-756-2
Rocha H.[11]
Basilashvili N.[9]
7-602-67-692-66-2
Gasquet R.
Atmane T.
6-22-66-36-0
Kecmanovic M.
Baez S.
6-736-746-46-26-2
Mpetshi Perricard G.[31]
Bergs Z.
4-66-37-656-4
Djokovic N.[3]
Mcdonald M.[18]
6-36-36-3
Norrie C.
Medvedev D.[6]
7-56-34-61-67-5
Lehecka J.[12]
Thompson J.
6-46-26-1
Monfils G.
Dellien H.
4-63-66-17-646-1
Brooksby J.
Faria J.
6-13-66-36-2
Nava E.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-27-57-5
Shevchenko A.
Lajovic D.[20]
6-26-47-64
Humbert U.[32]
Oconnell C.
7-56-37-63
Fonseca J.[28]
Hurkacz H.[30]
6-26-46-2
Marozsan F.
Nardi L.
6-26-37-63
Fils A.[14]
Jarry N.
6-36-46-766-3
Arnaldi M.
Auger Aliassime F.[4]
5-72-66-36-46-2
Korda S.[23]
Darderi L.[14]
6-24-66-36-2
Shapovalov D.[27]
Martinez P.[24]
6-26-06-3
Bublik A.[9]
Duckworth J.
6-26-46-4
Ruud C.[15]
Ramos A.
6-36-46-2
Tsitsipas S.[20]
Etcheverry T.[23]
7-56-36-4