Maria Mateas vs Arantxa Rus — Rabat Round of 16

Rabat · WTA · Round of 16
USA
Maria Mateas
1330ELO
1305Clay ELO
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 May 2025
clay
Arantxa Rus
NED
Arantxa Rus
#183WTA
1511ELO
1500Clay ELO
35 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLWLL
Mateas M.
6-4 6-2
Rus A.
Mateas M.
662
Rus A.
420

Maria Mateas defeated Arantxa Rus 6-4 6-2 in the Rabat round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Arantxa Rus came in defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Mateas M.serving50% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Rus A.

Rus A.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Mateas M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Mateas M.Rus A.
1st serve in·Even
71%
75%
1st serve points won·Even
55%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
43%
Service points won·Even
52%
55%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
54%
52%
Aces / match·Even
1.2
1.3
Double faults / match·Even
3.6
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 87). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mateas M.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Rus A.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Clay Elo 1305
Surface ELO
7.5+195 Clay Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1330
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1511
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.1
Surface form
5.4
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.1
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Mateas M.Rus A.
Freshness·
—
100

Rus A.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw

Final
Joint M.
Cristian J.
6-36-2
Semi-finals
Joint M.
Tomljanovic A.
6-40-0
Cristian J.
Osorio C.[2]
6-766-46-4
Quarter-finals
Cristian J.
Sevastova A.
6-36-4
Tomljanovic A.
Bouzas Maneiro J.[10]
6-16-3
Osorio C.[2]
Mateas M.
6-36-1
Joint M.
Li A.[4]
6-26-1
R16
Cristian J.
Bolsova A.
7-617-61
Bouzas Maneiro J.[10]
Nahimana S.
6-44-66-1
Tomljanovic A.
Pieri T.
4-66-26-4
Joint M.
Volynets K.[9]
6-06-3
Mateas M.
Rus A.
6-46-2
Li A.[4]
Baptiste H.
6-46-757-5
Osorio C.[2]
Rakhimova K.
4-66-26-3
Sevastova A.
Sonmez Z.
6-36-4
R32
Sevastova A.
Kabbaj Y.
5-76-47-5
Tomljanovic A.
Tomova V.[5]
7-54-66-3
Bolsova A.
Siniakova K.[6]
3-66-16-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.[10]
Grabher J.
6-31-66-4
Joint M.
Konjuh A.
7-56-2
Volynets K.[9]
Alves C.
6-36-0
Sonmez Z.
Bronzetti L.[3]
6-26-1
Li A.[4]
Timofeeva M.
7-666-2
Rus A.
Fossa Huergo N.
6-36-776-1
Cristian J.
Kotliar Y.
6-36-1
Nahimana S.
El Aouni A.
6-36-2
Baptiste H.
Rosatello C.
7-653-66-2
Osorio C.[2]
Cocciaretto E.
2-66-36-2
Pieri T.
Martinez Cirez C.
6-36-0
Mateas M.
Mandlik E.
6-36-4
Rakhimova K.
Teichmann J.
6-46-1