Ajla Tomljanovic vs Jessica Bouzas ManeiroRabat Quarter-final

Rabat · WTA · Quarter-final
#94WTA
1745ELO
1630Clay ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 May 2025
clay
#52WTA
1721ELO
1677Clay ELO
$391kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLL
Tomljanovic A.
6-1 6-3
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Tomljanovic A.
662
Bouzas Maneiro J.
130

Ajla Tomljanovic defeated Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 6-1 6-3 in the Rabat quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Bouzas Maneiro came in ranked #52. Ajla Tomljanovic extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-10s HertogenboschR32grassAjla Tomljanovic3-6 1-6

Serve vs return

This season
Tomljanovic A.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Bouzas Maneiro J.

Bouzas Maneiro J.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Tomljanovic A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
6.1
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 65). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
71
53
Break points saved·Clear edge
73
53
Break points won·Even
92
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
75
86
Tiebreaks·Dominant
78
9

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Clay Elo 1630
Surface ELO
5.0+47 Clay Elo edge
5.7Overall Elo 1745
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1721
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
6.0
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
7.6
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
96
90

Tomljanovic A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Bouzas Maneiro J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 57%