Carolina Alves vs Carol ZhaoRabat Qualifying Round 1

Rabat · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#348WTA
1280ELO
1265Clay ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 19 May 2025
clay
#547WTA
1390ELO
1295Clay ELO
31 yrs · 165 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWLL
Alves C.
7-5 3-6 6-3
Zhao C.
Alves C.
7362
Zhao C.
5631

Carolina Alves defeated Carol Zhao 7-5 3-6 6-3 in the Rabat qualifying round 1 on clay.

Key context

  • Match story: Carolina Alves closed it out in three sets, 7–5 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Alves C.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Zhao C.

Zhao C.serving31% hold

wins 42% of points on serve vs Alves C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
41%
Service points won·Even
55%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
49%
43%
Break points saved·Even
51%
53%
Aces / match·Even
0.9
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (83 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
11
10
Break points saved·Slight edge
9
19
Break points won·Slight edge
72
63
Deciding sets·Even
41
40
Tiebreaks·
30

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1265
Surface ELO
5.2+30 Clay Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1280
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1390
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.4
Surface form
2.6
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Zhao C.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast