Sebastian Ofner vs Reilly Opelka — Geneva Qualifying Round 2

Geneva · ATP · Qualifying Round 2

AUT6

Sebastian Ofner

#125ATP

1713ELO

1680Clay ELO

$345kYTD

$3.8MCAREER

30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLWLWWWWL

2 — 0

Sets

Sunday, 18 May 2025

clay

USA3

Reilly Opelka

#131ATP

1749ELO

1644Clay ELO

$325kYTD

$6.0MCAREER

28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLLLWWLWLW

Ofner S.

7-5 7-6

Opelka R.

Ofner S.

77⁷2

Opelka R.

56²0

Sebastian Ofner defeated Reilly Opelka 7-5 7-6 in the Geneva qualifying round 2 on clay. The result followed the form book — Sebastian Ofner came in ranked #125, defending last year's round of 16. Sebastian Ofner claimed a first win over Reilly Opelka in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Match story: Sebastian Ofner edged Reilly Opelka in two tight sets (7–5 7–6).

Head to head

0–1

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2025-07-27	Canada Masters	R128	hard	Reilly Opelka	7-6(6) 7-5

Serve vs return

This season

Ofner S.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Opelka R.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Ofner S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season

Ofner S.Opelka R.

1st serve in·Slight edge

56%

64%

1st serve points won·Even

76%

79%

2nd serve points won·Even

51%

52%

Service points won·Even

65%

69%

Return points won·Slight edge

36%

28%

Break points saved·Clear edge

62%

74%

Aces / match·Dominant

7.5

16.9

Double faults / match·Clear edge

2.8

4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (69 vs 68). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Ofner S.Opelka R.

Clutch Rating·Slight edge

Break points saved·Slight edge

100

Break points won·Dominant

Deciding sets·Slight edge

Tiebreaks·Slight edge

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Ofner S.

5.5

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Recent retirement (−1.5)

Opelka R.

6.2

Even matchUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

5.1+36 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.9Clay Elo 1644

4.2Overall Elo 1713

ELO gap

5.8Overall Elo 1749

5.0

H2H

5.0

6.8

Surface form

2.9

7.04-match win streak

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

5.8

Minutes 14d

8.9

7.0

3-set count

Prev. match

8.0

Context

6.0

Defending pts

5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.