Alexandre Muller vs Alexander ZverevHamburg Round of 16

Hamburg · ATP · Round of 16
#126ATP
1665ELO
1628Clay ELO
$426kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 18 May 2025
clay
#3ATP
2100ELO
2051Clay ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
Muller A.
6-3 4-6 7-6
Zverev A.
Muller A.
64772
Zverev A.
36651

Alexandre Muller defeated Alexander Zverev 6-3 4-6 7-6 in the Hamburg round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's final. Alexandre Muller claimed a first win over Alexander Zverev in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR64hardAlexander Zverev6-3 4-6 6-3 6-4
2025-04-14MunichR32clayAlexander Zverev6-4 6-1
2024-08-26US OpenR64hardAlexander Zverev6-4 7-6(5) 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Muller A.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Zverev A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Muller A.

Serve advantage — Zverev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Muller A.Zverev A.
Serve
64
Return
57

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
69%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.4
7.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (69 vs 110). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
75
94
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
100
Break points won·Dominant
44
90
Deciding sets·Even
95
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
84
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
9.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.7Clay Elo 1628
Surface ELO
9.3+423 Clay Elo edge
0.3Overall Elo 1665
ELO gap
9.7Overall Elo 2100
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.2
Surface form
7.6
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
6.1
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
6.3
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
98
45

Muller A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Zverev A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 134 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°CDrizzle
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 48%