Sebastian Ofner vs Karen KhachanovGeneva Quarter-final

Geneva · ATP · Quarter-final
#110ATP
1713ELO
1680Clay ELO
$345kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 18 May 2025
clay
#22ATP
1828ELO
1787Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
Ofner S.
4-6 6-4 6-4
Khachanov K.
Ofner S.
4662
Khachanov K.
6441

Sebastian Ofner defeated Karen Khachanov 4-6 6-4 6-4 in the Geneva quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Karen Khachanov came in ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 1–0, but Sebastian Ofner had arrived on a 4-match winning run. Sebastian Ofner claimed a first win over Karen Khachanov in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR64clayKaren Khachanov7-5 3-6 7-5 4-6 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Ofner S.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Khachanov K.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Ofner S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
36%
Break points saved·Even
62%
64%
Aces / match·Even
7.4
7.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (68 vs 71). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
70
86
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
99
Break points won·Dominant
43
81
Deciding sets·Even
82
83
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
84
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Clay Elo 1680
Surface ELO
6.4+107 Clay Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1713
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1828
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
6.2
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.8
Minutes 14d
6.3
7.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
69
77

Ofner S.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d) · Khachanov K.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 40%