Flavio Cobolli vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaHamburg Round of 16

Hamburg · ATP · Round of 16
#10ATP
1896ELO
1862Clay ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 18 May 2025
clay
#23ATP
1893ELO
1813Clay ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Cobolli F.
6-4 7-5
Davidovich Fokina A.
Cobolli F.
672
Davidovich Fokina A.
450

Flavio Cobolli defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-4 7-5 in the Hamburg round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #10, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 16. Flavio Cobolli extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-21ViennaR32hardFlavio Cobolli7-6(1) 6-3
2024-07-29WashingtonR16hardFlavio Cobolli1-6 7-6(0) 7-6(7)
2021-05-10Rome MastersQ1clayAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-2 2-0 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Cobolli F.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Davidovich Fokina A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Serve advantage — Davidovich Fokina A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Cobolli F.Davidovich Fokina A.
54
Serve
54
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
55%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.1
3.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (84 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
91
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Dominant
35
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
91
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+49 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Clay Elo 1813
5.1Overall Elo 1896
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1893
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
5.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.6
Minutes 14d
9.3
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
56
70

Cobolli F.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 111 games (7d) · Davidovich Fokina A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°CDrizzle
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 48%