Alexander Bublik vs Federico ArnaboldiTurin CH Round of 16

Turin CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#11ATP
1889ELO
1822Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 13 May 2025
clay
#527ATP
1328ELO
1289Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWW
Bublik A.
0-6 6-3 6-3
Arnaboldi F.
Bublik A.
0662
Arnaboldi F.
6331

Alexander Bublik defeated Federico Arnaboldi 0-6 6-3 6-3 in the Turin CH round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Arnaboldi F.

Arnaboldi F.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve advantage — Bublik A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Bublik A.Arnaboldi F.
55
Serve
51
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
58%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
67%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.9
3.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.5
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 69). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
88
38
Break points saved·Dominant
99
41
Break points won·Dominant
67
15
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
76
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+533 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Clay Elo 1289
10.0Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1328
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
6.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.9
Minutes 14d
7.5
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
74
80

Bublik A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Arnaboldi F.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast