Chloe Paquet vs Anastasia ZakharovaParis 125 Round of 16

Paris 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#309WTA
1479ELO
1456Clay ELO
32 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 May 2025
clay
#85WTA
1742ELO
1595Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLLLW
Paquet C.
6-3 6-3
Zakharova A.
Paquet C.
662
Zakharova A.
33

Chloe Paquet defeated Anastasia Zakharova 6-3 6-3 in the Paris 125 round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Anastasia Zakharova came in ranked #85, defending last year's round of 32, but Chloe Paquet had been the form player, winning 2 of their last 4 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Paquet C.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Zakharova A.

Zakharova A.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Paquet C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
48%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.6
1.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (77 vs 98). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
8
55
Break points saved·Even
51
47
Break points won·Clear edge
69
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
0
67
Tiebreaks·Dominant
29
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Clay Elo 1456
Surface ELO
6.5+140 Clay Elo edge
1.6Overall Elo 1479
ELO gap
8.4Overall Elo 1742
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
5.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Zakharova A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast