Chloe Paquet vs Aliaksandra SasnovichParis 125 Semi-final

Paris 125 · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#309WTA
1479ELO
1456Clay ELO
32 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 May 2025
clay
#122WTA
1726ELO
1655Clay ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
Paquet C.
6-4 6-3
Sasnovich A.
Paquet C.
662
Sasnovich A.
43

Chloe Paquet defeated Aliaksandra Sasnovich 6-4 6-3 in the Paris 125 semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Aliaksandra Sasnovich came in ranked #122, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

  • Match story: Chloe Paquet closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Paquet C.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Sasnovich A.

Sasnovich A.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Paquet C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.7
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.1
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (77 vs 86). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
8
61
Break points saved·Dominant
51
79
Break points won·Clear edge
69
93
Deciding sets·Dominant
0
72
Tiebreaks·Even
29
25

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.8Clay Elo 1456
Surface ELO
8.2+199 Clay Elo edge
1.2Overall Elo 1479
ELO gap
8.8Overall Elo 1726
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
5.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
3-set count
0.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Sasnovich A.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast