Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Lourdes CarleParis 125 Round of 32

Paris 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#122WTA
1726ELO
1655Clay ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 May 2025
clay
#232WTA
1484ELO
1461Clay ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLW
Sasnovich A.
6-4 6-2
Carle M.
Sasnovich A.
662
Carle M.
42

Aliaksandra Sasnovich defeated Maria Lourdes Carle 6-4 6-2 in the Paris 125 round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Aliaksandra Sasnovich came in ranked #122, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sasnovich A.serving40% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Carle M.

Carle M.serving35% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Sasnovich A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
40%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
52%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.0
0.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (86 vs 80). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
61
27
Break points saved·Dominant
79
26
Break points won·Even
93
97
Deciding sets·Clear edge
72
56
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
25
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.6+193 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Clay Elo 1461
8.3Overall Elo 1726
ELO gap
1.7Overall Elo 1484
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.8
Surface form
5.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
3-set count
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
84

Sasnovich A.: 16 days rest · Carle M.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast