Gonzalo Bueno vs Adrian Mannarino — Zagreb CH Round of 32

Zagreb CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
PER
Gonzalo Bueno
#182ATP
1491ELO
1469Clay ELO
$136kYTD
$352kCAREER
22 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 May 2025
clay
Adrian Mannarino
FRA1
Adrian Mannarino
#40ATP
1673ELO
1488Clay ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
Bueno G.
6-2 6-7 6-3
Mannarino A.
Bueno G.
66962
Mannarino A.
271131

Gonzalo Bueno defeated Adrian Mannarino 6-2 6-7 6-3 in the Zagreb CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Adrian Mannarino came in ranked #40.

Key context

  • Match story: Gonzalo Bueno closed it out in three sets, 6–2 6–7 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bueno G.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Mannarino A.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Bueno G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Bueno G.Mannarino A.
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
38%
Break points saved·Even
56%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.0
4.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (101 vs 93). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bueno G.Mannarino A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
45
65
Break points saved·Dominant
29
96
Break points won·Clear edge
45
66
Deciding sets·Clear edge
88
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
68
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bueno G.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Mannarino A.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2Clay Elo 1469
Surface ELO
4.8+19 Clay Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1491
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1673
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.4
Surface form
2.6
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
7.9
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bueno G.Mannarino A.
Freshness·Clear edge
95
73

Bueno G.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d) · Mannarino A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Prizmic D.
Van Assche L.
6-20-0
Semi-finals
Prizmic D.
Trungelliti M.
6-36-757-5
Van Assche L.
Pavlovic L.
6-36-2
Quarter-finals
Trungelliti M.
Mayot H.[4]
7-646-2
Pavlovic L.
Poljicak M.
6-17-5
Van Assche L.
Misolic F.[8]
6-46-4
Prizmic D.
Kym J.[2]
6-26-3
R16
Mayot H.[4]
Karol M.
6-26-4
Misolic F.[8]
Coppejans K.
7-652-67-65
Trungelliti M.
Mena F.
2-66-47-64
Van Assche L.
Kuzmanov D.
6-46-2
Kym J.[2]
Ruusuvuori E.
6-26-0
Poljicak M.
Popko D.[6]
6-36-2
Prizmic D.
Jacquet K.[5]
7-56-2
Pavlovic L.
Bueno G.
7-6146-4
R32
Prizmic D.
Basic M.
6-16-2
Bueno G.
Mannarino A.[1]
6-26-796-3
Pavlovic L.
Onclin G.
1-66-26-4
Poljicak M.
Fatic N.
4-66-37-62
Karol M.
Svajda Z.
6-26-3
Jacquet K.[5]
Blanchet U.
7-636-0
Ruusuvuori E.
Mikrut L.
6-43-66-3
Van Assche L.
Svrcina D.[3]
6-26-1
Kuzmanov D.
Durasovic V.
6-47-5
Coppejans K.
Gombos N.
6-36-3
Misolic F.[8]
Houkes M.
6-16-1
Mena F.
Ajdukovic D.[7]
6-27-62
Kym J.[2]
Zhukayev B.
6-24-0
Popko D.[6]
Dodig M.
6-46-4
Mayot H.[4]
Rodionov J.
7-56-736-2
Trungelliti M.
Oberleitner N.
6-22-66-4