Julie Belgraver vs Solana SierraParis 125 Round of 16

Paris 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#378WTA
1397ELO
1370Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 May 2025
clay
#56WTA
1783ELO
1748Clay ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
Belgraver J.
7-6 6-7 7-6
Sierra S.
Belgraver J.
7763772
Sierra S.
6477651

Julie Belgraver defeated Solana Sierra 7-6 6-7 7-6 in the Paris 125 round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Solana Sierra came in ranked #56.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Belgraver J.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Sierra S.

Sierra S.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Belgraver J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
54%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.6
2.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (78 vs 71). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.7Clay Elo 1370
Surface ELO
8.3+378 Clay Elo edge
1.6Overall Elo 1397
ELO gap
8.4Overall Elo 1783
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
6.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Sierra S.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast