Jack Draper vs Corentin MoutetRome Masters Round of 16

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#131ATP
1822ELO
1697Clay ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 7 May 2025
clay
#39ATP
1745ELO
1692Clay ELO
$731kYTD
$6.4MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLLLL
Draper J.
1-6 6-4 6-3
Moutet C.
Draper J.
1662
Moutet C.
6431

Jack Draper defeated Corentin Moutet 1-6 6-4 6-3 in the Rome Masters round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Corentin Moutet came in ranked #39, defending last year's round of 64, but Jack Draper had arrived on a 3-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Draper J.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Moutet C.

Moutet C.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Serve advantage — Draper J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Draper J.Moutet C.
Serve
Return
61

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.2
3.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (46 vs 84). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
82
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Slight edge
83
75
Deciding sets·Slight edge
96
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.6+5 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Clay Elo 1692
6.2Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1745
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.3
Surface form
3.0
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.6
Minutes 14d
9.3
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
94

Draper J.: 15 days rest · Moutet C.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 75%