Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Pablo Carreno BustaRome Masters Qualifying Round 2

Rome Masters · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#67ATP
1711ELO
1694Clay ELO
$446kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 7 May 2025
clay
#65ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Burruchaga R.
3-6 6-3 6-2
Carreno Busta P.
Burruchaga R.
3662
Carreno Busta P.
6321

Roman Andres Burruchaga defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 3-6 6-3 6-2 in the Rome Masters qualifying round 2 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #65. Roman Andres Burruchaga extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-07Rome MastersQ2clayRoman Andres Burruchaga3-6 6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Burruchaga R.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Burruchaga R.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Even
43%
40%
Break points saved·Even
59%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
3.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (114 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
66
78
Break points saved·Dominant
68
97
Break points won·Clear edge
73
61
Deciding sets·Even
84
80
Tiebreaks·Dominant
64
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
94
94

Burruchaga R.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Carreno Busta P.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast