Federico Arnaboldi vs Thiago MonteiroRome Masters Qualifying Round 1

Rome Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
#527ATP
1328ELO
1289Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 7 May 2025
clay
#290ATP
1568ELO
1554Clay ELO
32 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
Arnaboldi F.
7-6 6-7 6-3
Monteiro T.
Arnaboldi F.
776562
Monteiro T.
657731

Federico Arnaboldi defeated Thiago Monteiro 7-6 6-7 6-3 in the Rome Masters qualifying round 1 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Thiago Monteiro came in ranked #290, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaboldi F.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Monteiro T.

Monteiro T.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Arnaboldi F.

Serve advantage — Monteiro T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
55%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.4
4.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 81). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
38
56
Break points saved·Dominant
41
95
Break points won·Even
15
16
Deciding sets·Slight edge
76
66
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
80
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.0Clay Elo 1289
Surface ELO
8.0+265 Clay Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1328
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1568
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
4.5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.4
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.0
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
83
64

Arnaboldi F.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Monteiro T.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 75%