Jasmine Paolini vs Peyton Stearns — Rome Semi-final

Rome · WTA · Semi-final
Jasmine Paolini
ITA6
Jasmine Paolini
#17WTA
1905ELO
1856Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 6 May 2025
clay
Peyton Stearns
USA
Peyton Stearns
#63WTA
1804ELO
1756Clay ELO
$476kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLL
Paolini J.
7-5 6-1
Stearns P.
Paolini J.
762
Stearns P.
510

Jasmine Paolini defeated Peyton Stearns 7-5 6-1 in the Rome semi-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, defending last year's round of 64.

Key context

  • Match story: Jasmine Paolini came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Stearns P.

Stearns P.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Paolini J.Stearns P.
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
3.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (73 vs 58). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Paolini J.Stearns P.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
89
73
Break points saved·Even
87
90
Break points won·Even
99
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
51
Tiebreaks·Even
93
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paolini J.
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Stearns P.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+100 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Clay Elo 1756
6.7Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1804
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
6.1
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
5.8
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
7.4
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Paolini J.Stearns P.
Freshness·Clear edge
76
97

Paolini J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Stearns P.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°CRain
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw

Final
Paolini J.[6]
Gauff C.[4]
6-46-2
Semi-finals
Gauff C.[4]
Zheng Q.[8]
7-634-67-64
Paolini J.[6]
Stearns P.
7-56-1
Quarter-finals
Zheng Q.[8]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-46-3
Paolini J.[6]
Shnaider D.[13]
6-716-46-2
Stearns P.
Svitolina E.[16]
6-24-67-64
Gauff C.[4]
Andreeva M.[7]
6-47-65
R16
Gauff C.[4]
Raducanu E.
6-16-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kostyuk M.
6-17-68
Paolini J.[6]
Ostapenko J.[17]
7-56-2
Svitolina E.[16]
Collins D.[29]
6-46-2
Zheng Q.[8]
Andreescu B.
7-56-1
Andreeva M.[7]
Tauson C.[22]
5-76-36-2
Stearns P.
Osaka N.
6-43-67-64
Shnaider D.[13]
Mertens E.[25]
6-26-3
R32
Ostapenko J.[17]
Siegemund L.
W/O
Andreescu B.
Rybakina E.[11]
6-26-4
Andreeva M.[7]
Noskova L.[30]
6-17-5
Paolini J.[6]
Jabeur O.[27]
6-46-3
Shnaider D.[13]
Cristian J.
6-36-3
Osaka N.
Bouzkova M.
4-66-36-3
Svitolina E.[16]
Baptiste H.
6-43-66-4
Kostyuk M.
Fernandez L.[24]
6-46-2
Raducanu E.
Kudermetova V.
5-76-06-1
Stearns P.
Keys M.[5]
2-66-27-63
Gauff C.[4]
Linette M.[32]
7-56-3
Tauson C.[22]
Navarro E.[10]
3-66-06-4
Collins D.[29]
Swiatek I.[2]
6-17-5
Zheng Q.[8]
Frech M.[26]
6-36-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kenin S.[31]
3-66-36-3
Mertens E.[25]
Pegula J.[3]
7-56-1
R64
Andreescu B.
Vekic D.[20]
6-13-66-2
Raducanu E.
Teichmann J.
6-26-2
Paolini J.[6]
Sun L.
6-46-3
Jabeur O.[27]
Kvitova P.
W/O
Kenin S.[31]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-36-0
Tauson C.[22]
Volynets K.
7-54-1
Cristian J.
Putintseva Y.[23]
7-627-5
Rybakina E.[11]
Lys E.
7-636-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Potapova A.
6-26-2
Shnaider D.[13]
Dolehide C.
6-06-0
Swiatek I.[2]
Cocciaretto E.
6-16-0
Mertens E.[25]
Lamens S.
3-66-26-3
Ostapenko J.[17]
Sramkova R.
1-66-46-3
Andreeva M.[7]
Arango E.
6-26-4
Zheng Q.[8]
Danilovic O.
6-16-4
Collins D.[29]
Ruse E.
6-36-3
Kudermetova V.
Anisimova A.[15]
7-657-5
Siegemund L.
Bronzetti L.
6-26-2
Navarro E.[10]
Rakhimova K.
6-16-3
Linette M.[32]
Sakkari M.
1-66-46-1
Kostyuk M.
Kasatkina D.[14]
6-46-2
Fernandez L.[24]
Ruzic A.
6-46-0
Frech M.[26]
Azarenka V.
7-56-4
Gauff C.[4]
Mboko V.
3-66-26-1
Noskova L.[30]
Kartal S.
6-46-2
Pegula J.[3]
Krueger A.
6-46-2
Keys M.[5]
Gracheva V.
7-646-1
Bouzkova M.
Haddad Maia B.[18]
6-06-3
Osaka N.
Golubic V.
2-67-56-1
Svitolina E.[16]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-47-62
Baptiste H.
Samsonova L.[19]
6-32-66-4
Stearns P.
Kalinskaya A.[28]
6-26-3
R128
Cocciaretto E.
Avanesyan E.
6-24-66-1
Sakkari M.
Bencic B.
6-20-0
Bouzkova M.
Sherif M.
6-27-5
Kostyuk M.
Eala A.
6-06-1
Azarenka V.
Osorio C.
6-26-3
Danilovic O.
Siniakova K.
3-66-46-4
Kudermetova V.
Stefanini L.
7-56-2
Sramkova R.
Kessler M.
6-36-3
Lys E.
Uchijima M.
6-16-0
Potapova A.
Yastremska D.
2-67-666-3
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Li A.
6-35-77-63
Baptiste H.
Blinkova A.
7-676-4
Sun L.
Pedone G.
3-66-16-3
Mboko V.
Zucchini A.
6-26-3
Andreescu B.
Urgesi F.
6-06-3
Kvitova P.
Begu I.
7-56-1
Ruzic A.
Grant T.
3-66-37-5
Stearns P.
Brancaccio N.
6-36-2
Osaka N.
Errani S.
6-26-3
Ruse E.
Kudermetova P.
6-7106-46-2
Kartal S.
Birrell K.
4-66-36-4
Lamens S.
Zarazua R.
6-11-66-1
Bronzetti L.
Sevastova A.
6-36-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Boulter K.
6-36-3
Raducanu E.
Joint M.
7-56-716-3
Rakhimova K.
Wang X.
6-36-2
Volynets K.
Rus A.
6-36-3
Arango E.
Tomova V.
7-665-76-4
Dolehide C.
Gadecki O.
7-655-76-2
Cristian J.
Parks A.
6-26-0
Krueger A.
Bondar A.
4-66-26-1
Gracheva V.
Tomljanovic A.
6-36-4