Jule Niemeier vs Tatjana MariaRome Qualifying Round 1

Rome · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#569WTA
1418ELO
1398Clay ELO
26 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLLL
0 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 6 May 2025
clay
#76WTA
1703ELO
1585Clay ELO
38 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
Niemeier J.
6-0 6-1
Maria T.
Niemeier J.
662
Maria T.
01

Jule Niemeier defeated Tatjana Maria 6-0 6-1 in the Rome qualifying round 1 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Tatjana Maria came in ranked #76, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Jule Niemeier claimed a first win over Tatjana Maria in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-06-27WimbledonQFgrassTatjana Maria4-6 6-2 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Niemeier J.serving45% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Maria T.

Maria T.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Niemeier J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
54%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
40%
46%
Service points won·Even
53%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
46%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.4
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
8.2
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 77). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
12
13
Break points saved·Even
33
31
Break points won·Even
82
78
Deciding sets·Even
9
9
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
42
58

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Clay Elo 1398
Surface ELO
6.6+187 Clay Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1418
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1703
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
2.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
70

Maria T.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast