Jan Choinski vs Henrique RochaPrague CH Round of 32

Prague CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#75ATP
1686ELO
1652Clay ELO
$204kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 May 2025
clay
#124ATP
1676ELO
1666Clay ELO
$197kYTD
$880kCAREER
22 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWWWW
Choinski J.
6-3 7-5
Rocha H.
Choinski J.
672
Rocha H.
350

Jan Choinski defeated Henrique Rocha 6-3 7-5 in the Prague CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Henrique Rocha came in leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's quarter-final, but Jan Choinski had been the form player, winning 5 of their last 5 on clay. Jan Choinski claimed a first win over Henrique Rocha in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Jan Choinski closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–5.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersQ1clayHenrique Rocha7-6(5) 6-7(5) 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Choinski J.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Rocha H.

Rocha H.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Choinski J.

Serve advantage — Rocha H.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.5
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (97 vs 95). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
55
45
Break points saved·Clear edge
90
67
Break points won·Slight edge
20
25
Deciding sets·Dominant
88
57
Tiebreaks·Dominant
41
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Clay Elo 1652
Surface ELO
5.6+14 Clay Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1686
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1676
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.2
Surface form
2.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.3
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
55
90

Choinski J.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 113 games (7d) · Rocha H.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast