Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Gonzalo Bueno — Santos CH Round of 32

Santos CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
ESP
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
#457ATP
1353ELO
1301Clay ELO
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 May 2025
clay
PER4
Gonzalo Bueno
#182ATP
1491ELO
1469Clay ELO
$136kYTD
$352kCAREER
22 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLLL
Alvarez Varona N.
6-4 6-2
Bueno G.
Alvarez Varona N.
662
Bueno G.
420

Nicolas Alvarez Varona defeated Gonzalo Bueno 6-4 6-2 in the Santos CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Gonzalo Bueno came in ranked #182, defending last year's round of 16, but Nicolas Alvarez Varona had been the form player, winning 5 of their last 9 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Alvarez Varona N.serving61% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Bueno G.

Bueno G.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Alvarez Varona N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Alvarez Varona N.Bueno G.
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Even
40%
43%
Break points saved·Even
59%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.4
1.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (48 vs 101). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Alvarez Varona N.Bueno G.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
5
45
Break points saved·Slight edge
40
29
Break points won·Dominant
17
45
Deciding sets·Dominant
29
88
Tiebreaks·Dominant
1
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Alvarez Varona N.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Bueno G.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.1Clay Elo 1301
Surface ELO
7.9+168 Clay Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1353
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1491
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.3
Surface form
3.7
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Alvarez Varona N.Bueno G.
Freshness·
—
95

Bueno G.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Guillen Meza A.[1]
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
6-37-612
Semi-finals
Guillen Meza A.[1]
Roncadelli F.
6-27-64
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
Kicker N.
7-57-5
Quarter-finals
Kicker N.
Mager G.
6-47-60
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
Midon L.
6-26-3
Roncadelli F.
Villanueva G.
6-46-2
Guillen Meza A.[1]
Olivo R.
6-36-3
R16
Mager G.
Boscardin Dias P.
7-647-64
Roncadelli F.
Soto M.[3]
7-626-4
Olivo R.
Prado Angelo J.[7]
5-77-56-1
Midon L.
Olivieri G.[8]
6-47-5
Guillen Meza A.[1]
Kuzuhara B.
1-66-46-4
Villanueva G.
Torres J.[6]
6-11-67-5
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
Alvarez Varona N.
6-14-66-1
Casanova H.
Kicker N.
R32
Prado Angelo J.[7]
Huertas Del Pino A.
6-36-3
Midon L.
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
6-46-2
Roncadelli F.
Kohlmann De Freitas E.
4-66-15-0
Kuzuhara B.
Huertas Del Pino C.
6-43-66-1
Olivo R.
Bicknell B.
3-66-36-3
Soto M.[3]
Sakamoto P.
6-786-26-0
Olivieri G.[8]
Reis Da Silva J.
2-66-46-2
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
Ribeiro E.
6-746-26-0
Alvarez Varona N.
Bueno G.[4]
6-46-2
Kicker N.
Leite W.
6-36-4
Mager G.
Varillas J.[2]
6-36-2
Casanova H.
Rodriguez Taverna S.[5]
6-736-35-1
Boscardin Dias P.
Pereira J.
6-46-3
Guillen Meza A.[1]
Kolar Z.
6-46-4
Torres J.[6]
Malacarne B.
6-47-64
Villanueva G.
Alves M.
3-67-57-62