Ilia Simakin vs Yosuke Watanuki — Guangzhou CH Round of 16

Guangzhou CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
RUS
Ilia Simakin
#289ATP
1463ELO
1505Hard ELO
22 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 28 April 2025
hard
Yosuke Watanuki
JPN
Yosuke Watanuki
#305ATP
1541ELO
1531Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLLLLW
Simakin I.
6-4 7-6
Watanuki Y.
Simakin I.
6782
Watanuki Y.
4660

Ilia Simakin defeated Yosuke Watanuki 6-4 7-6 in the Guangzhou CH round of 16 on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Simakin I.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Watanuki Y.

Watanuki Y.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Simakin I.

Serve advantage — Simakin I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Simakin I.Watanuki Y.
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
53%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.7
8.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (75 vs 60). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Simakin I.Watanuki Y.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
58
52
Break points saved·Even
87
89
Break points won·Slight edge
26
20
Deciding sets·Clear edge
79
61
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
70
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Simakin I.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Watanuki Y.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2Hard Elo 1505
Surface ELO
4.8+26 Hard Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 1463
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1541
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.4
Surface form
6.2
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
1.2
Minutes 14d
4.2
0.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Simakin I.Watanuki Y.
Freshness·Clear edge
77
91

Simakin I.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d) · Watanuki Y.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Atmane T.[4]
Schoolkate T.[3]
6-37-64
Semi-finals
Schoolkate T.[3]
Kachmazov A.
6-36-746-4
Atmane T.[4]
Holt B.[2]
6-46-3
Quarter-finals
Schoolkate T.[3]
Grenier H.[6]
6-46-4
Atmane T.[4]
Simakin I.
1-67-647-5
Holt B.[2]
Hsu Y.
6-46-3
Kachmazov A.
Mccabe J.[7]
7-656-4
R16
Kachmazov A.
Walton A.[1]
4-67-626-2
Mccabe J.[7]
Jasika O.
6-41-66-2
Grenier H.[6]
Bouzige M.
6-47-5
Atmane T.[4]
Sharipov M.
7-57-63
Hsu Y.
Escoffier A.
6-33-66-2
Simakin I.
Watanuki Y.
6-47-66
Schoolkate T.[3]
Shimabukuro S.
6-20-0
Holt B.[2]
Cui J.
7-677-64
R32
Holt B.[2]
Noguchi R.
7-637-62
Walton A.[1]
Ilagan A.
6-37-63
Kachmazov A.
Sun F.
6-47-65
Jasika O.
Langmo C.
6-47-65
Mccabe J.[7]
Samrej K.
6-36-736-3
Shimabukuro S.
Bolt A.
3-66-46-1
Bouzige M.
Roh H.
6-36-1
Watanuki Y.
Tu L.[5]
6-46-786-3
Simakin I.
Mo Y.
6-17-63
Escoffier A.
Svajda Z.
6-46-4
Atmane T.[4]
Te R.
5-76-36-1
Hsu Y.
Lestienne C.[8]
7-56-4
Cui J.
Zhou Y.
6-46-4
Schoolkate T.[3]
Peniston R.
6-44-66-4
Grenier H.[6]
Chen C.
6-26-4
Sharipov M.
Rosenkranz M.
6-33-66-4