Naomi Osaka vs Petra MarcinkoSaint Malo 125 Round of 32

Saint Malo 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#13WTA
1987ELO
1886Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 28 April 2025
clay
#45WTA
1745ELO
1705Clay ELO
$468kYTD
$956kCAREER
20 yrs · 176 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWWWLWL
Osaka N.
6-2 6-1
Marcinko P.
Osaka N.
662
Marcinko P.
21

Naomi Osaka defeated Petra Marcinko 6-2 6-1 in the Saint Malo 125 round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Naomi Osaka came in ranked #13.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Osaka N.serving56% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Marcinko P.

Marcinko P.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
62%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
52%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.6
2.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 87). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
91
72
Break points saved·Dominant
96
54
Break points won·Even
97
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
94
Tiebreaks·
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+181 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Clay Elo 1705
8.4Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
1.6Overall Elo 1745
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
7.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
88
71

Osaka N.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Marcinko P.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast